Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $87.51B.
It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 18 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
Its P/B Ratio of 7.47x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For RCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does.
Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RCL included.
Price
RCL price chart and AI forecast
RCL
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How RCL ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
Market Cap
$87.51B
$2.19B
1/18
P/E Ratio
19.37x
16.58x
4/10
P/B Ratio
7.47x
1.87x
1/13
Dividend Yield
1.54%
–
–
EPS
$16.89
–
–
Book Value/Share
$43.79
–
–
Revenue/Share
$71.54
–
–
FCF/Share
$5.65
–
–
Profitability & Margins
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
ROE
38.9%
18.4%
2/8
ROA
10.2%
9.0%
4/8
ROIC
15.8%
15.5%
5/11
Gross Margin
49.0%
42.5%
2/7
Operating Margin
27.6%
20.1%
4/12
Net Margin
23.8%
20.7%
5/10
EBT Margin
22.4%
16.1%
4/12
Tax Rate
3.5%
–
–
Financial Health
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
Current Ratio
0.22x
0.79x
14/16
Quick Ratio
0.19x
0.75x
12/13
D/E Ratio
2.81x
0.88x
2/15
Financial Leverage
3.83x
2.84x
3/14
Interest Coverage
2.5x
2.5x
7/16
Working Capital
-$8.94B
-$15M
15/16
Cash Flow
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
Operating Cash Flow
$6.90B
$512M
2/14
Free Cash Flow
$1.51B
$389M
2/5
Capital Spending
-$5.39B
-$3.65B
4/5
OCF Growth YoY
9.3%
9.2%
5/10
FCF Growth YoY
-25.8%
–
–
FCF/Sales
7.9%
7.9%
3/5
CapEx/Sales
28.1%
23.8%
1/5
Operational Efficiency
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
Asset Turnover
0.43x
0.43x
3/6
Receivables Turnover
46.8x
25.7x
2/8
Inventory Turnover
32.1x
31.9x
3/6
Fixed Assets Turnover
0.5x
0.6x
5/6
Days Sales Outstanding
8 days
22 days
7/8
Days Inventory
11 days
11 days
4/6
Payables Period
37 days
17 days
2/7
Cash Conversion Cycle
-17 days
-6 days
4/5
Income Statement
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
Total Revenue
$19.13B
$10.72B
3/8
Operating Income
$5.27B
$371M
2/15
Net Income
$4.55B
$269M
1/10
SG&A Expense
$2.25B
$1.63B
2/7
Cost of Goods Sold
$9.75B
$7.46B
3/8
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Metric
RCL
Industry median
Rank
Dividends Per Share
$5.04
–
–
Payout Ratio
29.8%
–
–
Shares Outstanding
267M
–
–
Net Income Growth
11.9%
10.8%
3/6
EPS Growth
11.7%
11.7%
5/9
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
Total Current Assets
$2.47B
5.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments
$851M
1.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable
$409M
0.9% of assets
Inventory
$304M
0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities
$32.90B
73.4% of assets
Short-term Debt
$10.43B
23.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports
RCL quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Water Transportation
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd stock predictions?
For RCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd forecasts updated?
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd's industry peers?
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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