Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $74.89B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 18 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 7.32x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For RCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RCL included.
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How RCL ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $74.89B | 1/18 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.31x | 5/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 7.32x | 1/13 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.54% | – |
| EPS | $16.18 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $38.27 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $69.85 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.56 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 43.0% | 2/9 |
| ROA | 9.8% | 3/10 |
| ROIC | 15.5% | 6/12 |
| Gross Margin | 49.1% | 2/7 |
| Operating Margin | 27.3% | 4/12 |
| Net Margin | 23.5% | 5/11 |
| EBT Margin | 22.6% | 4/12 |
| Tax Rate | 4.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.21x | 14/16 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.19x | 12/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 3.34x | 2/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.36x | 3/15 |
| Interest Coverage | 3.0x | 7/16 |
| Working Capital | -$9.22B | 16/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $6.79B | 3/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$416M | 4/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$7.20B | 4/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 18.3% | 5/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -111.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -2.2% | 4/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 38.5% | 1/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.42x | 5/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 42.4x | 2/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 35.6x | 4/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.5x | 5/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 9 days | 7/8 |
| Days Inventory | 10 days | 3/6 |
| Payables Period | 42 days | 2/7 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -23 days | 5/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $18.68B | 3/8 |
| Operating Income | $5.11B | 2/15 |
| Net Income | $4.40B | 1/11 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.25B | 2/7 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $9.52B | 3/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RCL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.30 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 26.6% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 267M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 22.0% | 2/8 |
| EPS Growth | 19.1% | 4/9 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.43B | 5.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $875M | 2.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $441M | 1.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $267M | 0.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $34.18B | 76.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $10.56B | 23.7% of assets |
RCL quarterly financials and insider trading
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd | ▼ | $74.89B |
| VIK Viking Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $37.26B |
| CCL Carnival Corp Ltd. | ▼ | $34.83B |
| BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. | ▶ | $17.29B |
| KEX Kirby Corp | ▶ | $7.20B |
| MATX Matson, Inc. | ▼ | $7.08B |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | ▼ | $7.07B |
| GLNG Golar Lng Ltd | ▶ | $4.58B |
| TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. | ▶ | $3.36B |
| NAT Nordic American Tankers Ltd | ▲ | $1.66B |
| FLNG Flex Lng Ltd. | ▶ | $1.53B |
| CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $473M |
| KNOP Knot Offshore Partners Lp | ▶ | $331M |
| EDRY Eurodry Ltd. | ▲ | $136M |
| DLNG Dynagas Lng Partners Lp | ▶ | $125M |
| OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc | ▲ | $38M |
| USEA United Maritime Corp | ▲ | $24M |
| RUBI Rubico Inc. | ▼ | $290K |
Where RCL sits on the market map
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock news
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd stock predictions?
For RCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd forecasts updated?
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd's industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, RCL included, share the SEC industry code Water Transportation. The largest are: Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK), Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL), Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP), Kirby Corp (KEX), Matson, Inc. (MATX), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.