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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Cognex Corp (CGNX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 40.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $9.08B mid-cap · #7 of 18 peers
Summary

Cognex Corp (CGNX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Cognex Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Cognex Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.08B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 18 Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CGNX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CGNX price chart and AI forecast

CGNX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CGNX ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-05

Cognex Corp (CGNX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $9.08B $3.30B 7/18
P/E Ratio 62.06x 40.05x 3/9
P/B Ratio 5.57x 3.58x 3/16
Dividend Yield 0.62% 0.52% 3/9
EPS $0.87 – –
Book Value/Share $9.69 – –
Revenue/Share $6.47 – –
FCF/Share $1.59 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
ROE 10.7% 2.5% 5/17
ROA 8.0% 1.1% 3/17
ROIC 12.2% 5.5% 3/16
Gross Margin 68.9% 50.9% 2/17
Operating Margin 21.9% 7.5% 3/17
Net Margin 16.1% 1.9% 4/17
EBT Margin 23.7% 3.8% 3/17
Tax Rate 32.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.93x 1.65x 4/17
Quick Ratio 3.27x 1.25x 2/15
D/E Ratio 0.34x 0.96x 16/17
Financial Leverage 1.34x 1.96x 16/17
Working Capital $634M $142M 4/17

Cash Flow

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $277M $277M 9/17
Free Cash Flow $268M $328M 8/13
Capital Spending -$8M -$37M 6/13
OCF Growth YoY 45.0% 7.5% 2/11
FCF Growth YoY 49.4% 8.4% 2/9
FCF/Sales 24.6% 15.3% 2/13
CapEx/Sales 0.8% 1.8% 12/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.50x 0.50x 9/17
Receivables Turnover 5.0x 6.8x 15/16
Inventory Turnover 2.4x 3.2x 10/15
Fixed Assets Turnover 13.4x 9.0x 5/15
Days Sales Outstanding 72 days 54 days 2/16
Days Inventory 154 days 114 days 6/15
Payables Period 70 days 70 days 6/11
Cash Conversion Cycle 156 days 143 days 4/10

Income Statement

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.09B $1.09B 9/17
Operating Income $238M $22M 8/17
Net Income $175M $5M 7/17
R&D Expense $141M $134M 6/12
SG&A Expense $371M $562M 8/14
Cost of Goods Sold $339M $825M 9/16

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCGNXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.33 – –
Payout Ratio 37.9% 21.6% 3/8
Shares Outstanding 168M – –
Net Income Growth 43.2% 17.3% 4/9
EPS Growth 33.9% 26.8% 4/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$850M39.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$303M13.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$216M9.9% of assets
Inventory$143M6.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$549M25.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$151M6.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CGNX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control

Cognex Corp (CGNX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Cognex Corp (Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CGNX Cognex Corp ▲ $9.08B 62.1x 5.6x
DHR Danaher Corp /De/ ▼ $161.01B 40.6x 3.1x
AME Ametek Inc/ ▼ $56.90B 36.3x 5.1x
KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc. ▶ $56.39B 40.1x 8.6x
ROP Roper Technologies Inc ▶ $37.85B 15.9x 2.0x
FTV Fortive Corp ▼ $18.36B 34.6x 3.0x
MKSI Mks Inc ▶ $14.53B 30.5x 4.9x
RAL Ralliant Corp ▼ $7.36B – 4.8x
ST Sensata Technologies Holding Plc ▼ $5.91B 81.2x 2.0x
MLAB Mesa Laboratories Inc /Co/ ▶ $685M 144.0x 3.6x
SENS Senseonics Holdings, Inc. ▲ $411M – 4.6x
HURC Hurco Companies Inc ▶ $135M – 0.7x
SYPR Sypris Solutions Inc ▲ $41M – 3.5x
INIS Radnostix Inc ▲ $24M – 12.6x
CLIR Clearsign Technologies Corp ▲ $17M – 1.7x
QURT Quarta-Rad, Inc. ▶ $6M – –
POAS Phaos Technology Holdings (Cayman) Ltd ▼ $4M – –
FCUV Focus Universal Inc. ▼ $2M – 0.3x

Where CGNX sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control
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News

Cognex Corp (CGNX) stock news

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FAQ

Cognex Corp (CGNX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Cognex Corp (CGNX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Cognex Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Cognex Corp stock predictions?

For CGNX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Cognex Corp forecasts updated?

Cognex Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Cognex Corp's industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, CGNX included, share the SEC industry code Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control. The largest are: Danaher Corp /De/ (DHR), Ametek Inc/ (AME), Keysight Technologies, Inc. (KEYS), Roper Technologies Inc (ROP), Fortive Corp (FTV), Mks Inc (MKSI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.