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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -38.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $454M small-cap · #42 of 60 peers
Summary

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, CMCL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $454M. It ranks number 42 by market capitalization among the 60 Gold and Silver Ores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CMCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CMCL price chart and AI forecast

CMCL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CMCL ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-03-24

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Gold and Silver Ores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCMCLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $454M $1.13B 42/60
P/E Ratio 7.20x 17.38x 20/22
EPS $3.27 – –
Revenue/Share $12.34 – –
FCF/Share $0.10 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCMCLIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 51.5% 41.1% 9/26
Operating Margin 34.0% 26.2% 5/20
Net Margin 16.4% 15.8% 9/19
EBT Margin 33.3% 13.7% 6/25
Tax Rate 38.7% – –

Cash Flow

MetricCMCLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $57M $18M 18/42
Free Cash Flow $2M -$12M 11/26
Capital Spending -$55M -$53M 14/26
FCF/Sales 0.8% 6.5% 10/18
CapEx/Sales 23.2% 23.2% 10/18

Income Statement

MetricCMCLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $238M $1.57B 20/29
Operating Income $81M $79M 16/32
Net Income $39M $5M 13/34
Cost of Goods Sold $116M $1.31B 20/28

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCMCLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 19M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$68M
Quarterly Financial Reports

CMCL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Gold and Silver Ores

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (Gold and Silver Ores): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corp Plc ▶ $454M 7.2x –
NEM Newmont Corp /De/ ▶ $124.97B 15.0x 3.6x
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd ▶ $95.15B – –
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. ▶ $60.92B 25.3x –
FNV Franco Nevada Corp ▶ $46.99B 23.6x –
GFI Gold Fields Ltd ▶ $33.66B – –
KGC Kinross Gold Corp ▶ $28.82B 9.3x –
PAAS Pan American Silver Corp ▶ $18.65B 47.5x –
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. ▲ $15.90B 16.1x 1.5x
AGI Alamos Gold Inc ▶ $13.49B 9.4x –
EQX Equinox Gold Corp. ▶ $12.97B 13.3x –
IAG Iamgold Corp ▶ $10.69B 6.8x –
EGO Eldorado Gold Corp /Fi ▲ $9.37B 14.4x –
AG First Majestic Silver Corp ▲ $7.85B – –
BTG B2gold Corp ▲ $7.12B 106.2x –
OR Or Royalties Inc. ▶ $6.65B 190.8x –
SKE Skeena Resources Ltd ▲ $3.82B – –
FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. ▲ $3.28B 15.3x –
NG Novagold Resources Inc ▲ $2.90B – 7.5x
TGB Trekor Metals Ltd ▲ $2.88B 222.4x –
SA Seabridge Gold Inc ▲ $2.80B – –
EXK Endeavour Silver Corp ▲ $2.43B – –
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. ▲ $2.40B – 3.3x
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc ▲ $2.13B 12.7x –
SIND Sinda Ltd. ▶ $1.97B – 9.5x
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co ▼ $1.66B – 5.2x
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corp ▲ $1.60B – 6.4x
IAUX I-80 Gold Corp. ▶ $1.32B – 5.1x
GOLD Barrick Mining Corp ▲ $1.15B – –
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc. ▲ $1.14B – –
VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. ▲ $1.13B – –
NEWP New Pacific Metals Corp ▲ $1.13B – –
ELE Elemental Royalty Corp ▲ $1.07B – –
CNL Collective Mining Ltd. ▲ $1.04B – –
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp. ▲ $1.02B – –
MUX Mcewen Inc. ▲ $996M 24.2x 1.4x
OGG Osisko Gold Group Inc. ▲ $814M – –
MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. ▲ $747M – –
GROY Gold Royalty Corp. ▲ $669M – –
NFGC New Found Gold Corp. ▲ $614M – –
CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. ▲ $510M 108.9x 1.5x
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd ▲ $495M – –
ITRG Integra Resources Corp. ▲ $442M – –
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. ▲ $428M – 3.1x
VGZ Vista Gold Corp ▲ $397M – 7.8x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. ▲ $345M 18.6x 2.9x
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. ▲ $344M 62.9x –
URG Ur-Energy Inc ▲ $337M – 4.9x
TRX Trx Gold Corp ▲ $299M – –
SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. ▶ $217M – 2.3x
TII Titan Mining Corp ▲ $186M – –
GLDG Goldmining Inc. ▲ $172M – –
NVA Nova Minerals Corp ▲ $137M – –
FTCO Fortitude Gold Corp ▼ $134M 468.0x 1.1x
PLG Platinum Group Metals Ltd ▲ $129M 4.8x –
FURY Fury Gold Mines Ltd ▲ $96M – –
USGO U.S. Goldmining Inc. ▲ $78M – 8.9x
XPL Solitario Resources Corp. ▲ $49M – 1.9x
AUST Austin Gold Corp. ▲ $11M – –
CHNR China Natural Resources Inc ▶ $5M – –

Where CMCL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Gold and Silver Ores
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News

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) stock news

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FAQ

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, CMCL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Caledonia Mining Corp Plc stock predictions?

For CMCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Caledonia Mining Corp Plc forecasts updated?

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Caledonia Mining Corp Plc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CMCL included, share the SEC industry code Gold and Silver Ores. The largest are: Newmont Corp /De/ (NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Franco Nevada Corp (FNV), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI), Kinross Gold Corp (KGC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.