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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -24.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $134M small-cap · #53 of 60 peers
Summary

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Fortitude Gold Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Fortitude Gold Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $134M. It ranks number 53 by market capitalization among the 60 Gold and Silver Ores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 1.12x is the lowest of the 18 peers that report one. Its P/E Ratio of 468.00x is the highest of the 22 peers that report one.

For FTCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FTCO included.

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Price

FTCO price chart and AI forecast

FTCO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FTCO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Gold and Silver Ores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $134M $1.13B 53/60
P/E Ratio 468.00x 17.38x 1/22
P/B Ratio 1.12x 3.44x 18/18
Dividend Yield 7.71% – –
EPS $0.01 – –
Book Value/Share $4.17 – –
Revenue/Share $0.33 – –
FCF/Share $-0.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin -58.4% 13.7% 20/25
Tax Rate 1.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.35x 3.95x 25/52
Quick Ratio 1.72x 1.96x 15/26
D/E Ratio 0.25x 0.38x 29/52
Financial Leverage 1.28x 1.40x 27/49
Working Capital $35M $82M 36/52

Cash Flow

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$16M $18M 32/43
Free Cash Flow -$18M -$12M 15/26
Capital Spending -$2M -$53M 4/26
FCF/Sales -192.2% 6.5% 16/18
CapEx/Sales 23.3% 23.2% 9/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.06x 0.49x 21/24
Inventory Turnover 0.2x 10.2x 19/20
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.2x 1.1x 16/17
Days Inventory 1498 days 34 days 1/19
Payables Period 151 days 41 days 2/19

Income Statement

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $10M $1.57B 27/29
Cost of Goods Sold $7M $1.31B 26/28

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFTCOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.36 – –
Payout Ratio 3600.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 29M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$46M30.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$14M9.1% of assets
Inventory$28M18.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$30M19.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$8M5.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FTCO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Gold and Silver Ores

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fortitude Gold Corp (Gold and Silver Ores): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FTCO Fortitude Gold Corp ▼ $134M 468.0x 1.1x
NEM Newmont Corp /De/ ▶ $124.97B 15.0x 3.6x
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd ▶ $95.15B – –
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. ▶ $60.92B 25.3x –
FNV Franco Nevada Corp ▶ $46.99B 23.6x –
GFI Gold Fields Ltd ▶ $33.66B – –
KGC Kinross Gold Corp ▼ $28.82B 9.3x –
PAAS Pan American Silver Corp ▶ $18.65B 47.5x –
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. ▶ $15.90B 16.1x 1.5x
AGI Alamos Gold Inc ▼ $13.49B 9.4x –
EQX Equinox Gold Corp. ▶ $12.97B 13.3x –
IAG Iamgold Corp ▶ $10.69B 6.8x –
EGO Eldorado Gold Corp /Fi ▲ $9.37B 14.4x –
AG First Majestic Silver Corp ▲ $7.85B – –
BTG B2gold Corp ▶ $7.12B 106.2x –
OR Or Royalties Inc. ▶ $6.65B 190.8x –
SKE Skeena Resources Ltd ▶ $3.82B – –
FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. ▶ $3.28B 15.3x –
NG Novagold Resources Inc ▲ $2.90B – 7.5x
TGB Trekor Metals Ltd ▲ $2.88B 222.4x –
SA Seabridge Gold Inc ▶ $2.80B – –
EXK Endeavour Silver Corp ▲ $2.43B – –
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. ▲ $2.40B – 3.3x
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc ▶ $2.13B 12.7x –
SIND Sinda Ltd. ▶ $1.85B – 8.9x
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co ▼ $1.66B – 5.2x
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corp ▶ $1.60B – 6.4x
IAUX I-80 Gold Corp. ▼ $1.32B – 5.1x
GOLD Barrick Mining Corp ▲ $1.15B – –
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc. ▶ $1.14B – –
VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. ▲ $1.13B – –
NEWP New Pacific Metals Corp ▲ $1.13B – –
ELE Elemental Royalty Corp ▶ $1.07B – –
CNL Collective Mining Ltd. ▲ $1.04B – –
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp. ▲ $1.02B – –
MUX Mcewen Inc. ▲ $996M 24.2x 1.4x
OGG Osisko Gold Group Inc. ▶ $814M – –
MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. ▲ $747M – –
GROY Gold Royalty Corp. ▶ $669M – –
NFGC New Found Gold Corp. ▲ $614M – –
CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. ▶ $510M 108.9x 1.5x
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd ▲ $495M – –
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corp Plc ▶ $454M 7.2x –
ITRG Integra Resources Corp. ▲ $442M – –
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. ▶ $428M – 3.1x
VGZ Vista Gold Corp ▶ $397M – 7.8x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. ▲ $345M 18.6x 2.9x
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. ▲ $344M 62.9x –
URG Ur-Energy Inc ▲ $337M – 4.9x
TRX Trx Gold Corp ▲ $299M – –
SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. ▶ $217M – 2.3x
TII Titan Mining Corp ▲ $178M – –
GLDG Goldmining Inc. ▶ $172M – –
PLG Platinum Group Metals Ltd ▲ $129M 4.8x –
NVA Nova Minerals Corp ▲ $120M – –
FURY Fury Gold Mines Ltd ▲ $96M – –
USGO U.S. Goldmining Inc. ▲ $78M – 8.9x
XPL Solitario Resources Corp. ▲ $49M – 1.9x
AUST Austin Gold Corp. ▲ $11M – –
NMEX Northern Minerals & Exploration Ltd. ▼ $7M – –

Where FTCO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Gold and Silver Ores
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News

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) stock news

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FAQ

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Fortitude Gold Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Fortitude Gold Corp stock predictions?

For FTCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Fortitude Gold Corp forecasts updated?

Fortitude Gold Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Fortitude Gold Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, FTCO included, share the SEC industry code Gold and Silver Ores. The largest are: Newmont Corp /De/ (NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Franco Nevada Corp (FNV), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI), Kinross Gold Corp (KGC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.