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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -12.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $18.46B large-cap · #7 of 60 peers
Summary

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, PAAS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Pan American Silver Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $18.46B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 60 Gold and Silver Ores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PAAS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

PAAS price chart and AI forecast

PAAS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PAAS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Gold and Silver Ores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $18.46B $1.09B 7/60
P/E Ratio 47.06x 17.38x 7/22
EPS $0.93 – –
Revenue/Share $24.29 – –
FCF/Share $2.96 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
ROIC 17.2% 7.9% 11/29
Gross Margin 22.4% 41.1% 22/26
Operating Margin 15.0% 26.2% 13/20
EBT Margin 12.8% 13.7% 16/25
Tax Rate 50.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.69x 4.00x 33/51
Quick Ratio 1.97x 1.96x 13/26
D/E Ratio 0.39x 0.38x 24/52
Financial Leverage 1.39x 1.40x 26/49
Working Capital $1.38B $84M 3/51

Cash Flow

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.54B $18M 6/42
Free Cash Flow $1.25B -$12M 4/26
Capital Spending -$1.29B -$53M 21/26
OCF Growth YoY 96.6% 83.1% 4/16
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% 0.0% 4/10
FCF/Sales 12.2% 6.5% 9/18
CapEx/Sales 12.6% 23.2% 14/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.05x 0.49x 4/24
Receivables Turnover 44.2x 47.8x 11/18
Inventory Turnover 13.5x 10.2x 5/20
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.9x 1.1x 5/17
Days Sales Outstanding 8 days 8 days 8/18
Days Inventory 27 days 34 days 15/19
Payables Period 25 days 41 days 13/19
Cash Conversion Cycle 10 days 7 days 3/9

Income Statement

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $10.25B $1.57B 6/29
Operating Income $1.54B $79M 7/32
Cost of Goods Sold $7.95B $1.31B 6/28

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPAASIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 422M – –
EPS Growth -51.8% 42.1% 13/16

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.20B
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.22B
Accounts Receivable$232M
Inventory$588M
Total Liabilities$2.74B
Short-term Debt$268M
Quarterly Financial Reports

PAAS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Gold and Silver Ores

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pan American Silver Corp (Gold and Silver Ores): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PAAS Pan American Silver Corp ▶ $18.46B 47.1x –
NEM Newmont Corp /De/ ▶ $124.97B 15.0x 3.6x
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd ▶ $95.15B – –
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. ▶ $60.46B 25.1x –
FNV Franco Nevada Corp ▶ $46.99B 23.6x –
GFI Gold Fields Ltd ▶ $33.66B – –
KGC Kinross Gold Corp ▼ $28.82B 9.3x –
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. ▶ $15.90B 16.1x 1.5x
AGI Alamos Gold Inc ▼ $13.49B 9.4x –
EQX Equinox Gold Corp. ▶ $12.97B 13.3x –
IAG Iamgold Corp ▶ $10.69B 6.8x –
EGO Eldorado Gold Corp /Fi ▲ $9.37B 14.4x –
AG First Majestic Silver Corp ▲ $7.85B – –
BTG B2gold Corp ▶ $7.12B 106.2x –
OR Or Royalties Inc. ▶ $6.58B 188.7x –
SKE Skeena Resources Ltd ▶ $3.87B – –
FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. ▶ $3.28B 15.3x –
TGB Trekor Metals Ltd ▲ $2.92B 225.8x –
NG Novagold Resources Inc ▲ $2.88B – 7.4x
SA Seabridge Gold Inc ▶ $2.81B – –
EXK Endeavour Silver Corp ▲ $2.43B – –
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. ▲ $2.32B – 3.2x
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc ▶ $2.13B 12.7x –
SIND Sinda Ltd. ▶ $1.97B – 9.5x
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co ▼ $1.73B – 5.4x
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corp ▶ $1.60B – 6.4x
IAUX I-80 Gold Corp. ▼ $1.32B – 5.1x
VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. ▲ $1.15B – –
GOLD Barrick Mining Corp ▲ $1.15B – –
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc. ▶ $1.10B – –
NEWP New Pacific Metals Corp ▲ $1.07B – –
ELE Elemental Royalty Corp ▶ $1.07B – –
CNL Collective Mining Ltd. ▲ $1.04B – –
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp. ▲ $1.02B – –
MUX Mcewen Inc. ▲ $995M 24.2x 1.4x
OGG Osisko Gold Group Inc. ▶ $833M – –
MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. ▲ $752M – –
GROY Gold Royalty Corp. ▶ $669M – –
NFGC New Found Gold Corp. ▲ $541M – –
CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. ▶ $510M 108.9x 1.5x
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd ▲ $495M – –
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corp Plc ▶ $454M 7.2x –
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. ▶ $444M – 3.3x
ITRG Integra Resources Corp. ▲ $442M – –
VGZ Vista Gold Corp ▶ $394M – 7.8x
URG Ur-Energy Inc ▲ $356M – 5.2x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. ▲ $345M 18.6x 2.9x
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. ▶ $340M 62.3x –
TRX Trx Gold Corp ▲ $302M – –
SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. ▶ $218M – 2.3x
TII Titan Mining Corp ▲ $186M – –
GLDG Goldmining Inc. ▶ $172M – –
PLG Platinum Group Metals Ltd ▲ $148M 4.8x –
NVA Nova Minerals Corp ▲ $137M – –
FTCO Fortitude Gold Corp ▼ $133M 464.0x 1.1x
FURY Fury Gold Mines Ltd ▲ $95M – –
USGO U.S. Goldmining Inc. ▲ $80M – 9.2x
XPL Solitario Resources Corp. ▲ $49M – 1.9x
AUST Austin Gold Corp. ▲ $12M – –
CHNR China Natural Resources Inc ▶ $5M – –

Where PAAS sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Gold and Silver Ores
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News

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) stock news

source: Seeking Alpha

Pan American Silver Corp. is currently listed on NYSE under PAAS. One share of PAAS stock can currently be purchased for approximately $44.59. Is Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) overvalued or ...

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FAQ

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, PAAS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Pan American Silver Corp stock predictions?

For PAAS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Pan American Silver Corp forecasts updated?

Pan American Silver Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Pan American Silver Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, PAAS included, share the SEC industry code Gold and Silver Ores. The largest are: Newmont Corp /De/ (NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Franco Nevada Corp (FNV), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI), Kinross Gold Corp (KGC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.