Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Casella Waste Systems Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Casella Waste Systems Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.60B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 12 Refuse Systems issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For CWST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 46.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How CWST ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Refuse Systems peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.60B | 5/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 880.00x | 1/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.54x | 5/9 |
| EPS | $0.10 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $24.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $30.73 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.66 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 0.4% | 6/9 |
| ROA | 0.2% | 6/9 |
| ROIC | 2.0% | 5/9 |
| Gross Margin | 33.4% | 5/11 |
| Operating Margin | 3.4% | 5/9 |
| Net Margin | 0.3% | 6/9 |
| EBT Margin | 0.5% | 5/10 |
| Tax Rate | 35.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99x | 5/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.25x | 10/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.25x | 10/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.1x | 5/10 |
| Working Capital | -$2M | 5/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $351M | 5/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $106M | 4/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$245M | 4/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 2.9% | 5/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 16.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 5.4% | 4/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 12.6% | 2/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.55x | 4/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.9x | 5/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.4x | 5/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 41 days | 4/8 |
| Payables Period | 35 days | 8/10 |
Income Statement
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.96B | 5/8 |
| Operating Income | $66M | 4/9 |
| Net Income | $6M | 5/9 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.30B | 5/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CWST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 64M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -48.4% | 5/5 |
| EPS Growth | -47.4% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $315M | 8.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $26M | 0.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $220M | 6.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.98B | 55.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $190M | 5.4% of assets |
CWST quarterly financials and insider trading
Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Casella Waste Systems Inc (Refuse Systems): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc | ▼ | $5.60B |
| WM Waste Management Inc | ▼ | $90.68B |
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. | ▼ | $70.90B |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | ▼ | $42.32B |
| GFL Gfl Environmental Inc. | ▼ | $16.27B |
| NVRI Enviri Corp | ▶ | $548M |
| DBHL Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. | ▼ | $178M |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corp | ▲ | $25M |
| AWX Avalon Holdings Corp | ▲ | $10M |
| RENX Renx Enterprises Corp. | ▼ | $5M |
| SNRG Susglobal Energy Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| VIVK Vivakor, Inc. | ▼ | $820K |
Where CWST sits on the market map
Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) stock news
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Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Casella Waste Systems Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Casella Waste Systems Inc stock predictions?
For CWST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 46.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Casella Waste Systems Inc forecasts updated?
Casella Waste Systems Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Casella Waste Systems Inc's industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, CWST included, share the SEC industry code Refuse Systems. The largest are: Waste Management Inc (WM), Republic Services, Inc. (RSG), Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN), Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL), Enviri Corp (NVRI), Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. (DBHL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.