Here's what to expect from Republic Services’ next earnings report
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is a leading environmental services provider focused on waste management and recycling. With a ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
34.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$70.90B
large-cap · #2 of 12 peers
Summary
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Republic Services, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Republic Services, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $70.90B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 12 Refuse Systems issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 11.3% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For RSG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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RSG price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How RSG ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Refuse Systems peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $70.90B | 2/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.80x | 3/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.89x | 3/9 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.07% | – |
| EPS | $7.06 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $39.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $63.12 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.66 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 18.2% | 3/9 |
| ROA | 6.2% | 2/9 |
| ROIC | 10.8% | 2/9 |
| Gross Margin | 49.3% | 2/11 |
| Operating Margin | 17.4% | 2/9 |
| Net Margin | 11.3% | 1/9 |
| EBT Margin | 13.3% | 3/10 |
| Tax Rate | 14.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.64x | 8/12 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.62x | 3/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.92x | 4/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.92x | 4/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.3x | 1/10 |
| Working Capital | -$1.42B | 12/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.54B | 2/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.65B | 2/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.89B | 6/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 9.2% | 3/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 12.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 13.7% | 2/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 9.8% | 4/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.55x | 4/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.5x | 3/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 85.2x | 3/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.5x | 4/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 38 days | 6/8 |
| Days Inventory | 4 days | 3/5 |
| Payables Period | 54 days | 5/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -11 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $19.33B | 3/8 |
| Operating Income | $3.37B | 2/9 |
| Net Income | $2.19B | 2/9 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.73B | 3/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $9.80B | 3/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RSG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.49 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 35.3% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 306M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 3.0% | 4/5 |
| EPS Growth | 4.4% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.56B | 7.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $107M | 0.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $2.03B | 5.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $115M | 0.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $23.13B | 65.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.54B | 7.2% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
RSG quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Refuse Systems
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Republic Services, Inc. (Refuse Systems): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. | ▼ | $70.90B |
| WM Waste Management Inc | ▼ | $90.68B |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | ▼ | $42.32B |
| GFL Gfl Environmental Inc. | ▼ | $16.27B |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc | ▼ | $5.60B |
| NVRI Enviri Corp | ▶ | $548M |
| DBHL Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. | ▼ | $178M |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corp | ▲ | $25M |
| AWX Avalon Holdings Corp | ▲ | $10M |
| RENX Renx Enterprises Corp. | ▼ | $5M |
| SNRG Susglobal Energy Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| VIVK Vivakor, Inc. | ▼ | $820K |
Where RSG sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Refuse Systems
News
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) stock news
Republic Services Breaks Ground on State-of-the-Art Recycling Center to Serve Greater St. Louis
Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE: RSG) broke ground on a new state-of-the-art recycling center in Bridgeton. The ...
Waste Management vs. Republic Services: How Much Cash Is Left After Investment?
Waste Management and Republic Services made our recycling-stock list. See the waste operators and metal producers competing ...
FAQ
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Republic Services, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Republic Services, Inc. stock predictions?
For RSG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Republic Services, Inc. forecasts updated?
Republic Services, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Republic Services, Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, RSG included, share the SEC industry code Refuse Systems. The largest are: Waste Management Inc (WM), Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN), Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL), Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST), Enviri Corp (NVRI), Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. (DBHL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.