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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Dollar General Corp (DG) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 10.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $29.51B large-cap · #4 of 10 peers
Summary

Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Dollar General Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Dollar General Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $29.51B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 17.39x is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one.

For DG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DG included.

Price

DG price chart and AI forecast

DG
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How DG ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-31

Dollar General Corp (DG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $29.51B $19.21B 4/10
P/E Ratio 17.39x 23.78x 9/9
P/B Ratio 3.18x 5.36x 8/9
Dividend Yield 1.76% – –
EPS $7.69 – –
Book Value/Share $42.10 – –
Revenue/Share $197.80 – –
FCF/Share $8.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.9% 25.8% 5/7
ROA 5.7% 7.6% 6/6
ROIC 9.8% 16.1% 8/8
Gross Margin 31.2% 29.3% 4/9
Operating Margin 5.6% 5.6% 5/9
Net Margin 4.2% 3.0% 2/7
EBT Margin 5.1% 5.1% 5/9
Tax Rate 23.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.21x 1.13x 4/9
Quick Ratio 0.31x 0.44x 6/8
D/E Ratio 2.46x 1.52x 3/9
Financial Leverage 3.46x 2.96x 3/8
Interest Coverage 2.1x 48.2x 8/8
Working Capital $1.52B $442M 2/9

Cash Flow

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3.19B $2.63B 4/9
Free Cash Flow $1.88B $1.50B 4/9
Capital Spending -$1.31B -$1.14B 6/9
OCF Growth YoY -4.7% 17.8% 9/9
FCF Growth YoY -30.0% -2.4% 9/9
FCF/Sales 4.3% 4.3% 5/9
CapEx/Sales 3.0% 3.9% 8/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.36x 1.59x 6/8
Inventory Turnover 4.6x 6.8x 6/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.6x 5.2x 3/9
Days Inventory 80 days 55 days 3/8
Payables Period 53 days 44 days 2/9

Income Statement

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $43.64B $22.81B 4/9
Operating Income $2.44B $2.20B 4/9
Net Income $1.85B $1.85B 4/7
SG&A Expense $11.16B $8.41B 4/8
Cost of Goods Sold $30.04B $18.65B 4/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.36 – –
Payout Ratio 30.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 221M – –
Net Income Growth 44.6% 13.9% 2/7
EPS Growth 42.4% 12.7% 2/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$8.78B27.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.59B4.9% of assets
Inventory$6.55B20.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$22.88B71.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.92B9.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Variety Stores

Dollar General Corp (DG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dollar General Corp (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DG Dollar General Corp $29.51B 17.4x 3.2x
WMT Walmart Inc. $995.84B 47.4x 12.8x
COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New $466.86B 50.8x 13.0x
TGT Target Corp $71.97B 20.0x 4.0x
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. $24.61B 20.5x 7.2x
BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. $13.82B 23.8x 6.3x
FIVE Five Below, Inc $13.28B 20.3x 5.4x
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. $5.52B 38.9x 2.9x
PSMT Pricesmart Inc $5.02B 30.1x 3.5x
MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd $3.36B – –

Where DG sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Variety Stores
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News

Dollar General Corp (DG) stock news

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FAQ

Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Dollar General Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Dollar General Corp stock predictions?

For DG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Dollar General Corp forecasts updated?

Dollar General Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Dollar General Corp's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, DG included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ), Five Below, Inc (FIVE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.