Five Below, Inc (FIVE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, FIVE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Five Below, Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.26B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 40.3% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For FIVE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How FIVE ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Five Below, Inc (FIVE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $12.26B | 7/10 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.72x | 8/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.95x | 5/9 |
| EPS | $11.90 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $44.98 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $96.52 | – |
| FCF/Share | $12.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 33.1% | 1/7 |
| ROA | 15.6% | 1/6 |
| ROIC | 18.4% | 3/8 |
| Gross Margin | 40.3% | 1/9 |
| Operating Margin | 13.1% | 1/9 |
| Net Margin | 13.7% | 1/7 |
| EBT Margin | 13.6% | 1/9 |
| Tax Rate | 24.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22x | 2/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.29x | 1/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.13x | 7/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.13x | 6/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 654.5x | 2/8 |
| Working Capital | $1.23B | 3/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $898M | 7/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $693M | 6/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$205M | 2/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 35.1% | 3/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -3.7% | 6/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 13.0% | 1/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.9% | 5/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.01x | 7/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.4x | 7/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.2x | 7/9 |
| Days Inventory | 108 days | 2/8 |
| Payables Period | 50 days | 3/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.31B | 8/9 |
| Operating Income | $784M | 7/9 |
| Net Income | $821M | 5/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.16B | 7/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.17B | 8/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FIVE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 55M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 166.6% | 1/7 |
| EPS Growth | 149.5% | 1/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.24B | 42.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $561M | 10.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $941M | 17.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.80B | 53.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $569M | 10.8% of assets |
FIVE quarterly financials and insider trading
Five Below, Inc (FIVE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Five Below, Inc (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FIVE Five Below, Inc | ▶ | $12.26B |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | ▼ | $935.15B |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New | ▶ | $439.04B |
| TGT Target Corp | ▶ | $71.16B |
| DG Dollar General Corp | ▶ | $29.64B |
| DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. | ▼ | $23.30B |
| BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $13.00B |
| OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $5.68B |
| PSMT Pricesmart Inc | ▼ | $5.24B |
| MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | $3.10B |
Where FIVE sits on the market map
Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock news
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Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, FIVE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Five Below, Inc stock predictions?
For FIVE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Five Below, Inc forecasts updated?
Five Below, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Five Below, Inc's industry peers?
10 issuers in our coverage, FIVE included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar General Corp (DG), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.