Dollar General Corp (DG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, DG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Dollar General Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $29.64B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 17.47x is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one.
For DG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How DG ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Dollar General Corp (DG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $29.64B | 4/10 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.47x | 9/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.19x | 8/9 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.75% | – |
| EPS | $7.69 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $42.10 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $197.80 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.9% | 5/7 |
| ROA | 5.7% | 6/6 |
| ROIC | 9.8% | 8/8 |
| Gross Margin | 31.2% | 4/9 |
| Operating Margin | 5.6% | 5/9 |
| Net Margin | 4.2% | 2/7 |
| EBT Margin | 5.1% | 5/9 |
| Tax Rate | 23.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21x | 4/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.31x | 6/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.46x | 3/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.46x | 3/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.1x | 8/8 |
| Working Capital | $1.52B | 2/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.19B | 4/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.88B | 4/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.31B | 6/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -4.7% | 9/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -30.0% | 9/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 4.3% | 5/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.0% | 8/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.36x | 6/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.6x | 6/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.6x | 3/9 |
| Days Inventory | 80 days | 3/8 |
| Payables Period | 53 days | 2/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $43.64B | 4/9 |
| Operating Income | $2.44B | 4/9 |
| Net Income | $1.85B | 4/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $11.16B | 4/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $30.04B | 4/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | DG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.36 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 30.7% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 221M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 44.6% | 2/7 |
| EPS Growth | 42.4% | 2/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $8.78B | 27.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.59B | 4.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $6.55B | 20.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $22.88B | 71.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.92B | 9.1% of assets |
DG quarterly financials and insider trading
Dollar General Corp (DG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dollar General Corp (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| DG Dollar General Corp | ▶ | $29.64B |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | ▼ | $942.61B |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New | ▶ | $439.04B |
| TGT Target Corp | ▶ | $70.08B |
| DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. | ▼ | $23.30B |
| BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $13.00B |
| FIVE Five Below, Inc | ▶ | $12.26B |
| OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $5.54B |
| PSMT Pricesmart Inc | ▼ | $5.24B |
| MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | $3.10B |
Where DG sits on the market map
Dollar General Corp (DG) stock news
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Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, DG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Dollar General Corp stock predictions?
For DG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Dollar General Corp forecasts updated?
Dollar General Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Dollar General Corp's industry peers?
10 issuers in our coverage, DG included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ), Five Below, Inc (FIVE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.