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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 33.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $135M small-cap · #8 of 13 peers
Summary

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Douglas Elliman Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Douglas Elliman Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $135M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 13 Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 14.9% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For DOUG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

DOUG price chart and AI forecast

DOUG
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DOUG ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $135M $640M 8/13
P/E Ratio 3.63x – –
P/B Ratio 0.81x 1.84x 10/12
EPS $0.41 – –
Book Value/Share $1.84 – –
Revenue/Share $11.07 – –
FCF/Share $-0.21 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
ROE 14.9% -6.6% 1/10
ROA 5.6% -3.4% 2/10
ROIC 10.4% -5.7% 2/11
Operating Margin 3.5% -2.6% 3/11
Net Margin 2.5% -1.5% 3/10
EBT Margin 2.8% -2.5% 4/11
Tax Rate 12.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.52x 1.44x 4/11
D/E Ratio 1.66x 1.73x 7/12
Financial Leverage 2.66x 2.73x 7/12
Working Capital $55M $108M 7/10

Cash Flow

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$17M $93M 9/11
Free Cash Flow -$19M $89M 7/8
Capital Spending -$2M -$12M 2/8
FCF/Sales -1.9% 1.9% 7/8
CapEx/Sales 0.2% 0.4% 6/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.26x 1.42x 4/10
Receivables Turnover 45.0x 44.6x 3/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 36.7x 39.9x 6/10
Days Sales Outstanding 8 days 8 days 4/6

Income Statement

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.01B $3.43B 7/10
Operating Income $35M -$8M 3/10
Net Income $25M -$9M 3/10
SG&A Expense $190M $238M 4/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDOUGIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 91M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$160M36.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$105M23.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$22M5.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$277M62.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$102M22.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DOUG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Douglas Elliman Inc. (Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc. ▲ $135M 3.6x 0.8x
JLL Jones Lang Lasalle Inc ▶ $14.06B 14.6x 1.9x
COMP Compass, Inc. ▶ $6.92B – 2.3x
VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp ▶ $3.82B – 1.9x
NMRK Newmark Group, Inc. ▲ $2.15B 17.4x 1.5x
OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. ▲ $2.05B – 2.3x
MMI Marcus & Millichap, Inc. ▲ $1.06B 85.0x 1.8x
AGNT Agnt, Inc. ▲ $640M – 2.3x
LHAI Linkhome Holdings Inc. ▶ $14M – 1.9x
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. ▶ $13M – 0.4x
FTHM Fathom Holdings Inc. ▶ $7M – 0.3x
OMH Ohmyhome Ltd ▼ $5M – 0.9x
LRHC La Rosa Holdings Corp. ▼ $500K – –

Where DOUG sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
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News

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) stock news

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FAQ

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Douglas Elliman Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Douglas Elliman Inc. stock predictions?

For DOUG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Douglas Elliman Inc. forecasts updated?

Douglas Elliman Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Douglas Elliman Inc.'s industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, DOUG included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others). The largest are: Jones Lang Lasalle Inc (JLL), Compass, Inc. (COMP), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC), Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK), Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN), Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.