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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 63.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.80B mid-cap · #3 of 13 peers
Summary

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.80B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 13 Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For VAC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 63.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VAC included.

Price

VAC price chart and AI forecast

VAC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How VAC ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.80B $518M 3/13
P/B Ratio 1.79x 1.88x 8/12
Dividend Yield 6.50% – –
EPS $-7.64 – –
Book Value/Share $61.61 – –
Revenue/Share $153.13 – –
FCF/Share $4.77 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
ROE -11.8% -9.2% 6/9
ROA -2.6% -5.3% 4/9
Net Margin -4.8% -2.6% 6/9

Financial Health

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.47x 1.70x 3/12
Financial Leverage 4.47x 2.70x 3/12

Cash Flow

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $210M $74M 4/11
Free Cash Flow $164M $74M 3/8
Capital Spending -$46M -$13M 7/8
OCF Growth YoY 72.1% -3.8% 1/7
FCF Growth YoY 160.3% -15.3% 1/6
FCF/Sales 3.1% 2.0% 3/8
CapEx/Sales 0.9% 0.4% 3/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.56x 1.28x 9/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.6x 40.6x 10/10

Income Statement

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.27B $3.54B 3/10
Net Income -$250M -$21M 8/9
SG&A Expense $1.39B $238M 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVACIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $7.18 – –
Shares Outstanding 34M – –
Net Income Growth -244.5% – –
EPS Growth -271.7% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$229M2.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$7.35B77.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VAC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp $3.80B – 1.8x
JLL Jones Lang Lasalle Inc $16.94B 16.1x 2.2x
COMP Compass, Inc. $7.73B – 2.5x
NMRK Newmark Group, Inc. $2.16B 17.0x 1.5x
OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. $1.74B – 2.9x
MMI Marcus & Millichap, Inc. $1.05B – 1.8x
AGNT Agnt, Inc. $518M – 1.9x
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc. $143M 3.8x 0.9x
OMH Ohmyhome Ltd $26M – 4.5x
LHAI Linkhome Holdings Inc. $16M – 2.1x
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. $11M – 0.4x
FTHM Fathom Holdings Inc. $5M – 0.2x
SRTM Stratum Holdings Corp. $90K – –

Where VAC sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
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News

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock news

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FAQ

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp stock predictions?

For VAC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 63.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp forecasts updated?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, VAC included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others). The largest are: Jones Lang Lasalle Inc (JLL), Compass, Inc. (COMP), Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK), Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN), Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI), Agnt, Inc. (AGNT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.