Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, VAC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.82B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 13 Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 3.61x is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.
For VAC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 63.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 36.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How VAC ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.82B | 3/13 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.85x | 6/12 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.30% | – |
| EPS | $-9.95 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $59.80 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $150.11 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.88 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -16.2% | 7/10 |
| ROA | -3.5% | 6/10 |
| Net Margin | -6.5% | 8/10 |
Financial Health
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.61x | 1/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.61x | 1/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $144M | 4/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $99M | 3/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$45M | 7/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 9.1% | 4/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 41.4% | 3/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 1.9% | 4/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.9% | 3/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.54x | 10/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.5x | 10/10 |
Income Statement
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.16B | 3/10 |
| Net Income | -$334M | 9/10 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.33B | 2/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VAC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.77 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 34M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -229.0% | – |
| EPS Growth | -249.8% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $211M | 2.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.42B | 78.3% of assets |
VAC quarterly financials and insider trading
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp | ▶ | $3.82B |
| JLL Jones Lang Lasalle Inc | ▶ | $14.06B |
| COMP Compass, Inc. | ▲ | $6.92B |
| NMRK Newmark Group, Inc. | ▲ | $2.15B |
| OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. | ▲ | $2.05B |
| MMI Marcus & Millichap, Inc. | ▶ | $1.06B |
| AGNT Agnt, Inc. | ▲ | $640M |
| DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc. | ▲ | $135M |
| LHAI Linkhome Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $14M |
| OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $13M |
| FTHM Fathom Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $6M |
| OMH Ohmyhome Ltd | ▼ | $5M |
| LRHC La Rosa Holdings Corp. | ▼ | $420K |
Where VAC sits on the market map
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock news
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Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, VAC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp stock predictions?
For VAC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 63.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 36.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp forecasts updated?
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp's industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, VAC included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others). The largest are: Jones Lang Lasalle Inc (JLL), Compass, Inc. (COMP), Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK), Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN), Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI), Agnt, Inc. (AGNT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.