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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Esab Corp (ESAB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 34.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.06B mid-cap · #4 of 14 peers
Summary

Esab Corp (ESAB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Esab Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Esab Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.06B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 14 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ESAB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

ESAB price chart and AI forecast

ESAB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ESAB ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-03

Esab Corp (ESAB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.06B $1.03B 4/14
P/E Ratio 33.00x – –
P/B Ratio 1.60x 2.00x 7/12
Dividend Yield 0.60% – –
EPS $1.98 – –
Book Value/Share $40.84 – –
Revenue/Share $48.29 – –
FCF/Share $3.16 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.8% -14.4% 2/7
ROA 2.6% -11.2% 2/7
ROIC 6.3% -9.3% 2/9
Gross Margin 37.0% 32.8% 5/11
Operating Margin 12.1% -30.6% 2/11
Net Margin 5.8% -26.0% 2/7
EBT Margin 8.7% -25.5% 3/11
Tax Rate 21.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.96x 2.19x 8/12
Quick Ratio 1.22x 1.35x 7/10
D/E Ratio 1.57x 0.58x 3/13
Financial Leverage 2.59x 1.70x 3/12
Interest Coverage 1.3x -10.8x 4/10
Working Capital $749M $245M 2/12

Cash Flow

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $259M $14M 4/11
Free Cash Flow $197M $15M 3/8
Capital Spending -$62M -$30M 7/8
OCF Growth YoY -16.5% 24.1% 4/5
FCF Growth YoY -23.8% – –
FCF/Sales 6.5% 7.1% 5/8
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 7.0% 6/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.46x 0.43x 3/8
Receivables Turnover 5.4x 9.3x 8/9
Inventory Turnover 3.2x 2.8x 3/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.7x 5.8x 2/9
Days Sales Outstanding 67 days 39 days 2/9
Days Inventory 112 days 129 days 6/9
Payables Period 79 days 62 days 2/11
Cash Conversion Cycle 101 days 101 days 4/7

Income Statement

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.00B $205M 2/9
Operating Income $362M -$24M 3/11
Net Income $173M -$34M 3/7
R&D Expense $49M $11M 4/9
SG&A Expense $697M $210M 2/7
Cost of Goods Sold $1.89B $103M 3/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricESABIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.39 – –
Payout Ratio 19.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 62M – –
Net Income Growth -32.7% – –
EPS Growth -61.5% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.53B23.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$217M3.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$554M8.4% of assets
Inventory$582M8.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.98B60.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$372M5.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ESAB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC

Esab Corp (ESAB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Esab Corp (General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ESAB Esab Corp ▼ $4.06B 33.0x 1.6x
SYM Symbotic Inc. ▼ $23.45B – 33.1x
NDSN Nordson Corp ▼ $17.95B 32.7x 5.5x
RRX Regal Rexnord Corp ▼ $10.26B 32.4x 1.5x
CHRN Chronoscale Holdings Corp ▲ $2.20B – 14.6x
OUST Ouster, Inc. ▲ $2.05B – 5.5x
ATS Ats Corp /Ats ▼ $1.78B – –
RR Richtech Robotics Inc. ▶ $280M – 0.8x
SERV Serve Robotics Inc. /De/ ▶ $280M – 0.8x
AZ A2z Cust2mate Solutions Corp. ▲ $250M – –
HLP Hongli Group Inc. ▶ $220M – 10.7x
TAYD Taylor Devices, Inc. ▲ $175M 26.2x 2.4x
INLF Inlif Ltd ▼ $3M – 0.2x
KITT Nauticus Robotics, Inc. ▼ $2M – 0.3x

Where ESAB sits on the market map

Technology · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC
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News

Esab Corp (ESAB) stock news

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FAQ

Esab Corp (ESAB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Esab Corp (ESAB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Esab Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Esab Corp stock predictions?

For ESAB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Esab Corp forecasts updated?

Esab Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Esab Corp's industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, ESAB included, share the SEC industry code General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Symbotic Inc. (SYM), Nordson Corp (NDSN), Regal Rexnord Corp (RRX), Chronoscale Holdings Corp (CHRN), Ouster, Inc. (OUST), Ats Corp /Ats (ATS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.