Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, HLP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Hongli Group Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $220M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 14 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For HLP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -41.0%, measured on 245 forecast dates between 2024-09-20 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -40.0%, measured on 288 forecast dates between 2024-09-20 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How HLP ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HLP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $220M | 11/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 10.65x | 3/12 |
| Book Value/Share | $0.28 | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HLP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.58x | 7/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.58x | 7/12 |
| Interest Coverage | -5.6x | 5/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HLP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 73M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Liabilities | $12M | 36.7% of assets |
HLP quarterly financials and insider trading
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hongli Group Inc. (General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| HLP Hongli Group Inc. | ▶ | $220M |
| SYM Symbotic Inc. | ▼ | $23.45B |
| NDSN Nordson Corp | ▼ | $17.95B |
| RRX Regal Rexnord Corp | ▼ | $10.26B |
| ESAB Esab Corp | ▼ | $4.06B |
| CHRN Chronoscale Holdings Corp | ▲ | $2.20B |
| OUST Ouster, Inc. | ▲ | $2.05B |
| ATS Ats Corp /Ats | ▼ | $1.78B |
| RR Richtech Robotics Inc. | ▶ | $280M |
| SERV Serve Robotics Inc. /De/ | ▶ | $280M |
| AZ A2z Cust2mate Solutions Corp. | ▲ | $250M |
| TAYD Taylor Devices, Inc. | ▲ | $175M |
| INLF Inlif Ltd | ▼ | $3M |
| KITT Nauticus Robotics, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
Where HLP sits on the market map
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) stock news
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Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, HLP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Hongli Group Inc. stock predictions?
For HLP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -41.0%, measured on 245 forecast dates between 2024-09-20 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -40.0%, measured on 288 forecast dates between 2024-09-20 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Hongli Group Inc. forecasts updated?
Hongli Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Hongli Group Inc.'s industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, HLP included, share the SEC industry code General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Symbotic Inc. (SYM), Nordson Corp (NDSN), Regal Rexnord Corp (RRX), Esab Corp (ESAB), Chronoscale Holdings Corp (CHRN), Ouster, Inc. (OUST).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.