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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 4.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $753M small-cap · #5 of 17 peers
Summary

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, EVLV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $753M. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 17 Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For EVLV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

EVLV price chart and AI forecast

EVLV
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How EVLV ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $753M $170M 5/17
P/B Ratio 6.34x 1.79x 4/16
EPS $0.00 – –
Book Value/Share $0.66 – –
Revenue/Share $1.12 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
ROE -5.8% -5.8% 6/11
ROA -2.3% -4.2% 6/12
ROIC -28.5% 0.4% 12/13
Gross Margin 51.4% 43.2% 4/12
Operating Margin -24.6% -0.0% 12/14
Net Margin -3.4% -5.7% 6/12
EBT Margin -3.4% 0.6% 9/14
Tax Rate -0.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.18x 2.14x 13/17
Quick Ratio 1.11x 1.39x 10/15
D/E Ratio 1.54x 0.77x 7/16
Financial Leverage 2.54x 1.77x 7/16
Interest Coverage -11.6x 0.2x 9/12
Working Capital $23M $109M 13/17

Cash Flow

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $28M $15M 6/15

Operational Efficiency

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.67x 0.69x 7/11
Receivables Turnover 5.1x 5.5x 7/10
Inventory Turnover 11.4x 3.8x 4/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.6x 27.4x 10/11
Days Sales Outstanding 71 days 66 days 4/10
Days Inventory 32 days 97 days 8/11
Payables Period 45 days 47 days 6/10
Cash Conversion Cycle 58 days 122 days 7/7

Income Statement

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $203M $203M 6/11
Operating Income -$50M $15K 12/14
Net Income -$7M -$4M 7/12
R&D Expense $28M $29M 7/12
SG&A Expense $181M $115M 6/13
Cost of Goods Sold $99M $35M 5/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricEVLVIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 181M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$149M49.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$53M17.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$40M13.1% of assets
Inventory$9M2.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$183M60.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$115M37.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

EVLV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. ▶ $753M – 6.3x
FTNT Fortinet, Inc. ▲ $124.09B 63.3x 80.0x
LOGI Logitech International S.A. ▶ $15.06B 19.3x 6.4x
CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. ▶ $1.38B 127.9x 2.1x
MITK Mitek Systems Inc ▶ $762M 54.5x 3.0x
SSYS Stratasys Ltd. ▲ $608M – 0.7x
XRX Xerox Holdings Corp ▲ $352M – 1.1x
IMMR Immersion Corp ▶ $231M 5.5x 0.8x
RDCM Radcom Ltd ▼ $170M 68.3x 1.5x
LINK Interlink Electronics Inc ▲ $65M – 7.2x
YIBO Planet Image International Ltd ▲ $63M – 1.1x
INVE Inve Technologies, Inc. ▼ $56M – 0.4x
TACT Transact Technologies Inc ▲ $47M – 1.5x
WETH Wetouch Technology Inc. ▲ $44M 2.6x 0.3x
VTIX Virtuix Holdings Inc. ▶ $27M – –
MYND Mynd.Ai, Inc. ▲ $12M – 2.1x
AIMD Ainos, Inc. ▼ $7M – 2.2x

Where EVLV sits on the market map

Technology · Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC
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News

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) stock news

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FAQ

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, EVLV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For EVLV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, EVLV included, share the SEC industry code Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT), Logitech International S.A. (LOGI), Corsair Gaming, Inc. (CRSR), Mitek Systems Inc (MITK), Stratasys Ltd. (SSYS), Xerox Holdings Corp (XRX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.