Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Expedia Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Expedia Group, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $34.68B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 17 Transportation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 28.68x is the highest of the 11 peers that report one.
For EXPE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How EXPE ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Transportation Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $34.68B | 2/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.00x | 4/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 28.68x | 1/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.77% | – |
| EPS | $16.05 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.07 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $130.81 | – |
| FCF/Share | $37.15 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 168.9% | 1/7 |
| ROA | 7.0% | 1/9 |
| ROIC | 28.8% | 1/10 |
| Gross Margin | 90.4% | 1/5 |
| Operating Margin | 16.0% | 3/10 |
| Net Margin | 13.0% | 3/8 |
| EBT Margin | 15.5% | 4/11 |
| Tax Rate | 16.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.80x | 13/16 |
| D/E Ratio | 21.99x | 2/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 24.04x | 2/14 |
| Interest Coverage | 7.1x | 2/11 |
| Working Capital | -$4.05B | 16/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $5.22B | 2/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.46B | 2/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$757M | 9/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 87.8% | 1/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 123.3% | 2/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 28.4% | 3/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.8% | 4/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.54x | 6/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 2.7x | 8/9 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.4x | 6/11 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 134 days | 2/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.70B | 2/11 |
| Operating Income | $2.51B | 2/11 |
| Net Income | $2.04B | 1/9 |
| SG&A Expense | $9.26B | 1/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.50B | 2/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EXPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.22 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 13.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 120M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 83.5% | – |
| EPS Growth | 99.1% | 1/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $16.30B | 56.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6.68B | 23.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.78B | 19.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $26.59B | 91.5% of assets |
EXPE quarterly financials and insider trading
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Expedia Group, Inc. (Transportation Services): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | ▲ | $34.68B |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $122.81B |
| XPO Xpo, Inc. | ▼ | $21.86B |
| GATX Gatx Corp | ▶ | $5.84B |
| GXO Gxo Logistics, Inc. | ▼ | $5.41B |
| HAFN Hafnia Ltd | ▲ | $4.98B |
| GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.96B |
| RXO Rxo, Inc. | ▶ | $4.72B |
| MMYT Makemytrip Ltd | ▶ | $4.57B |
| BWLP Bw Lpg Ltd | ▶ | $3.73B |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.27B |
| GMRS Gmr Solutions Inc. | ▶ | $776M |
| VRRM Verra Mobility Corp | ▼ | $435M |
| SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc | ▶ | $368M |
| PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc | ▶ | $89M |
| NTRP Nexttrip, Inc. | ▼ | $21M |
| TLSS Transportation & Logistics Systems, Inc. | ▼ | $940K |
Where EXPE sits on the market map
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) stock news
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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Expedia Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Expedia Group, Inc. stock predictions?
For EXPE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Expedia Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Expedia Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Expedia Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, EXPE included, share the SEC industry code Transportation Services. The largest are: Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), Xpo, Inc. (XPO), Gatx Corp (GATX), Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO), Hafnia Ltd (HAFN), Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.