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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 20.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.41B mid-cap · #5 of 17 peers
Summary

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Gxo Logistics, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Gxo Logistics, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.41B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 17 Transportation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GXO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GXO included.

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Price

GXO price chart and AI forecast

GXO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GXO ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Transportation Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.41B $4.57B 5/17
P/E Ratio 174.75x 18.07x 1/6
P/B Ratio 1.81x 3.03x 9/11
EPS $0.27 – –
Book Value/Share $26.05 – –
Revenue/Share $118.94 – –
FCF/Share $1.57 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
ROIC 4.0% 7.0% 6/10
Operating Margin 2.4% 4.7% 6/10
EBT Margin 1.6% 1.6% 6/11
Tax Rate 38.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.79x 1.19x 14/16
D/E Ratio 3.13x 1.87x 6/14
Financial Leverage 4.14x 2.88x 6/14
Interest Coverage 0.7x 0.4x 5/11
Working Capital -$868M $136M 15/16

Cash Flow

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $509M $232M 5/12
Free Cash Flow $180M $109M 4/9
Capital Spending -$329M -$174M 7/9
OCF Growth YoY 22.4% 22.4% 5/9
FCF Growth YoY 93.5% 86.0% 3/7
FCF/Sales 1.3% 6.9% 7/9
CapEx/Sales 2.4% 4.7% 7/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.10x 0.58x 2/10
Receivables Turnover 6.6x 6.0x 4/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 16.4x 6.4x 4/11
Days Sales Outstanding 55 days 61 days 6/9

Income Statement

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $13.64B $3.18B 3/11
Operating Income $328M $68M 4/11
SG&A Expense $1.16B $276M 2/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGXOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 115M – –
EPS Growth -73.8% 20.8% 6/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$3.25B26.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$769M6.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2.07B16.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$9.35B75.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$3.41B27.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GXO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Transportation Services

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Gxo Logistics, Inc. (Transportation Services): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GXO Gxo Logistics, Inc. ▼ $5.41B 174.8x 1.8x
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. ▲ $122.81B 18.1x –
EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. ▲ $34.68B 18.0x 28.7x
XPO Xpo, Inc. ▼ $21.86B 60.0x 11.1x
GATX Gatx Corp ▶ $5.84B 16.4x 2.1x
HAFN Hafnia Ltd ▲ $4.98B – –
GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc. ▼ $4.96B – 3.0x
RXO Rxo, Inc. ▶ $4.72B – 3.1x
MMYT Makemytrip Ltd ▶ $4.57B – –
BWLP Bw Lpg Ltd ▶ $3.73B – –
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.27B – –
GMRS Gmr Solutions Inc. ▶ $776M – 3.7x
VRRM Verra Mobility Corp ▼ $435M 9.9x 1.9x
SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc ▶ $368M – 0.9x
PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc ▶ $89M – 0.3x
NTRP Nexttrip, Inc. ▼ $25M – 5.2x
TLSS Transportation & Logistics Systems, Inc. ▼ $240K – –

Where GXO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Transportation Services
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News

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) stock news

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FAQ

Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Gxo Logistics, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Gxo Logistics, Inc. stock predictions?

For GXO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Gxo Logistics, Inc. forecasts updated?

Gxo Logistics, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Gxo Logistics, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, GXO included, share the SEC industry code Transportation Services. The largest are: Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE), Xpo, Inc. (XPO), Gatx Corp (GATX), Hafnia Ltd (HAFN), Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.