Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $420M. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 17 Transportation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SPCE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SPCE included.
SPCE price chart and AI forecast
How SPCE ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Transportation Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $420M | 13/17 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.06x | 10/11 |
| EPS | $-2.09 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $2.61 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.01 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.55 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -62.5% | 6/6 |
| ROA | -30.4% | 6/7 |
| ROIC | -41.3% | 10/11 |
| Gross Margin | -9106.1% | 6/6 |
| Operating Margin | -24804.5% | 10/10 |
| Net Margin | -23867.4% | 6/6 |
| EBT Margin | -23857.7% | 11/11 |
| Tax Rate | -0.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62x | 4/15 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.06x | 9/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.06x | 9/13 |
| Interest Coverage | -64.3x | 12/12 |
| Working Capital | $120M | 7/15 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$212M | 12/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$386M | 9/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$174M | 5/9 |
| FCF/Sales | -37231.3% | 9/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 16764.0% | 1/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.00x | 11/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.0x | 11/11 |
| Payables Period | 79 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1M | 11/11 |
| Operating Income | -$257M | 11/11 |
| Net Income | -$248M | 7/7 |
| R&D Expense | $38M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $109M | 7/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $96M | 5/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SPCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 152M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $313M | 38.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $187M | 22.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $420M | 51.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $172M | 21.0% of assets |
SPCE quarterly financials and insider trading
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (Transportation Services): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc | $420M | |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | $120.72B | |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | $31.11B | |
| XPO Xpo, Inc. | $20.56B | |
| GATX Gatx Corp | $6.38B | |
| GXO Gxo Logistics, Inc. | $6.33B | |
| MMYT Makemytrip Ltd | $5.01B | |
| HAFN Hafnia Ltd | $4.67B | |
| RXO Rxo, Inc. | $4.55B | |
| BWLP Bw Lpg Ltd | $3.30B | |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | $2.23B | |
| GMRS Gmr Solutions Inc. | $967M | |
| SRTA Strata Critical Medical, Inc. | $492M | |
| VRRM Verra Mobility Corp | $333M | |
| PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc | $77M | |
| NTRP Nexttrip, Inc. | $16M | |
| TLSS Transportation & Logistics Systems, Inc. | $160K |
Where SPCE sits on the market map
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) stock news
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Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc stock predictions?
For SPCE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc forecasts updated?
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc's industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, SPCE included, share the SEC industry code Transportation Services. The largest are: Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE), Xpo, Inc. (XPO), Gatx Corp (GATX), Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO), Makemytrip Ltd (MMYT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.