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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.28B mid-cap · #17 of 60 peers
Summary

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, FSM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Fortuna Mining Corp. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.28B. It ranks number 17 by market capitalization among the 60 Gold and Silver Ores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For FSM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

FSM price chart and AI forecast

FSM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FSM ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Gold and Silver Ores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.28B $1.13B 17/60
P/E Ratio 15.30x 17.38x 13/22
EPS $0.70 – –
Revenue/Share $11.55 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
ROE 14.2% -5.2% 9/31
ROA 10.1% -10.5% 7/30
ROIC 24.8% 7.9% 8/29
Gross Margin 32.5% 41.1% 18/26
Operating Margin 14.8% 26.2% 14/20
Net Margin 6.7% 15.8% 13/19
EBT Margin 13.5% 13.7% 14/25
Tax Rate 47.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.98x 3.95x 31/52
Quick Ratio 2.50x 1.96x 11/26
D/E Ratio 0.37x 0.38x 27/52
Financial Leverage 1.41x 1.40x 23/49
Working Capital $508M $82M 11/52

Cash Flow

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.00B $18M 11/43

Operational Efficiency

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.50x 0.49x 2/24
Receivables Turnover 47.5x 47.8x 10/18
Inventory Turnover 19.4x 10.2x 2/20
Days Sales Outstanding 8 days 8 days 9/18
Days Inventory 19 days 34 days 18/19
Payables Period 23 days 41 days 14/19
Cash Conversion Cycle 3 days 7 days 6/9

Income Statement

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.53B $1.57B 12/29
Operating Income $522M $76M 11/33
Net Income $237M $4M 11/35
SG&A Expense $299M $145M 3/10
Cost of Goods Sold $2.39B $1.31B 12/28

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFSMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 306M – –
EPS Growth 0.0% 42.1% 10/16

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$765M
Cash & Short-term Investments$554M
Accounts Receivable$74M
Inventory$123M
Total Liabilities$625M
Short-term Debt$103M
Quarterly Financial Reports

FSM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Gold and Silver Ores

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fortuna Mining Corp. (Gold and Silver Ores): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. ▶ $3.28B 15.3x –
NEM Newmont Corp /De/ ▶ $124.97B 15.0x 3.6x
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd ▶ $95.15B – –
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. ▶ $60.92B 25.3x –
FNV Franco Nevada Corp ▶ $46.99B 23.6x –
GFI Gold Fields Ltd ▶ $33.66B – –
KGC Kinross Gold Corp ▼ $28.82B 9.3x –
PAAS Pan American Silver Corp ▶ $18.65B 47.5x –
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. ▶ $15.90B 16.1x 1.5x
AGI Alamos Gold Inc ▼ $13.49B 9.4x –
EQX Equinox Gold Corp. ▶ $12.97B 13.3x –
IAG Iamgold Corp ▶ $10.69B 6.8x –
EGO Eldorado Gold Corp /Fi ▲ $9.37B 14.4x –
AG First Majestic Silver Corp ▲ $7.85B – –
BTG B2gold Corp ▶ $7.12B 106.2x –
OR Or Royalties Inc. ▶ $6.65B 190.8x –
SKE Skeena Resources Ltd ▶ $3.82B – –
NG Novagold Resources Inc ▲ $2.90B – 7.5x
TGB Trekor Metals Ltd ▲ $2.88B 222.4x –
SA Seabridge Gold Inc ▶ $2.80B – –
EXK Endeavour Silver Corp ▲ $2.43B – –
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. ▲ $2.40B – 3.3x
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc ▶ $2.13B 12.7x –
SIND Sinda Ltd. ▶ $1.85B – 8.9x
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co ▼ $1.66B – 5.2x
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corp ▶ $1.60B – 6.4x
IAUX I-80 Gold Corp. ▼ $1.32B – 5.1x
GOLD Barrick Mining Corp ▲ $1.15B – –
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc. ▶ $1.14B – –
VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. ▲ $1.13B – –
NEWP New Pacific Metals Corp ▲ $1.13B – –
ELE Elemental Royalty Corp ▶ $1.07B – –
CNL Collective Mining Ltd. ▲ $1.04B – –
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp. ▲ $1.02B – –
MUX Mcewen Inc. ▲ $996M 24.2x 1.4x
OGG Osisko Gold Group Inc. ▶ $814M – –
MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. ▲ $747M – –
GROY Gold Royalty Corp. ▶ $669M – –
NFGC New Found Gold Corp. ▲ $614M – –
CTGO Contango Silver & Gold Inc. ▶ $510M 108.9x 1.5x
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd ▲ $495M – –
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corp Plc ▶ $454M 7.2x –
ITRG Integra Resources Corp. ▲ $442M – –
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. ▶ $428M – 3.1x
VGZ Vista Gold Corp ▶ $397M – 7.8x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. ▲ $345M 18.6x 2.9x
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. ▲ $344M 62.9x –
URG Ur-Energy Inc ▲ $337M – 4.9x
TRX Trx Gold Corp ▲ $299M – –
SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. ▶ $217M – 2.3x
TII Titan Mining Corp ▲ $178M – –
GLDG Goldmining Inc. ▶ $172M – –
FTCO Fortitude Gold Corp ▼ $134M 468.0x 1.1x
PLG Platinum Group Metals Ltd ▲ $129M 4.8x –
NVA Nova Minerals Corp ▲ $120M – –
FURY Fury Gold Mines Ltd ▲ $96M – –
USGO U.S. Goldmining Inc. ▲ $78M – 8.9x
XPL Solitario Resources Corp. ▲ $49M – 1.9x
AUST Austin Gold Corp. ▲ $11M – –
NMEX Northern Minerals & Exploration Ltd. ▼ $7M – –

Where FSM sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Gold and Silver Ores
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News

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) stock news

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FAQ

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, FSM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Fortuna Mining Corp. stock predictions?

For FSM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Fortuna Mining Corp. forecasts updated?

Fortuna Mining Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Fortuna Mining Corp.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, FSM included, share the SEC industry code Gold and Silver Ores. The largest are: Newmont Corp /De/ (NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Franco Nevada Corp (FNV), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI), Kinross Gold Corp (KGC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.