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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 6.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.21B small-cap · #3 of 5 peers
Summary

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Greenbrier Companies Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Greenbrier Companies Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.21B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 5 Railroad Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GBX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GBX price chart and AI forecast

GBX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GBX ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-05-31

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Railroad Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.21B $1.21B 3/5
P/E Ratio 11.44x – –
P/B Ratio 0.77x 1.00x 4/5
Dividend Yield 3.46% – –
EPS $3.42 – –
Book Value/Share $50.85 – –
Revenue/Share $84.99 – –
FCF/Share $-3.63 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.8% – –
ROA 2.5% – –
Gross Margin 15.1% 26.2% 5/5
Operating Margin 7.2% 7.2% 3/5
Net Margin 4.1% – –
EBT Margin 5.5% 5.5% 3/5
Tax Rate 25.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.69x 1.69x 3/5
Financial Leverage 2.76x – –
Interest Coverage 1.5x – –

Cash Flow

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $106M $106M 3/5
Free Cash Flow -$112M – –
Capital Spending -$218M – –
OCF Growth YoY -70.4% – –
FCF Growth YoY -247.5% – –
FCF/Sales -4.3% – –
CapEx/Sales 8.3% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.60x – –
Receivables Turnover 5.7x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.6x 2.8x 2/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.7x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 64 days – –
Days Inventory 101 days 129 days 4/5

Income Statement

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.63B – –
Operating Income $190M $190M 3/5
Net Income $107M – –
SG&A Expense $243M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $2.23B $1.51B 2/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGBXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.35 – –
Payout Ratio 39.5% – –
Shares Outstanding 31M – –
Net Income Growth -53.2% – –
EPS Growth -57.3% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$274M6.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$463M11.0% of assets
Inventory$619M14.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.65B62.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GBX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Railroad Equipment

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Greenbrier Companies Inc (Railroad Equipment): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc ▼ $1.21B 11.4x 0.8x
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp ▼ $48.61B 38.7x 4.3x
TRN Trinity Industries Inc ▶ $2.03B 6.2x 1.0x
RAIL Freightcar America, Inc. ▲ $194M – 5.4x
RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. ▲ $7M – 0.3x

Where GBX sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Railroad Equipment
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News

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) stock news

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FAQ

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Greenbrier Companies Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Greenbrier Companies Inc stock predictions?

For GBX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Greenbrier Companies Inc forecasts updated?

Greenbrier Companies Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Greenbrier Companies Inc's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, GBX included, share the SEC industry code Railroad Equipment. The largest are: Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB), Trinity Industries Inc (TRN), Freightcar America, Inc. (RAIL), Rail Vision Ltd. (RVSN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.