Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, TRN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Trinity Industries Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.03B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Railroad Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TRN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TRN ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Railroad Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.03B | 2/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 6.24x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 1.00x | 3/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.87% | – |
| EPS | $4.08 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $25.48 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $25.64 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.30 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 26.2% | 3/5 |
| Operating Margin | 22.2% | 1/5 |
| EBT Margin | 14.2% | 2/5 |
| Tax Rate | 24.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.11x | 2/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $388M | 2/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $343M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$46M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -7.2% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -5.5% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 16.8% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 6.0x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.8x | 3/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.3x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 61 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 129 days | 3/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.04B | – |
| Operating Income | $755M | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $217M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.51B | 3/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TRN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.24 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 30.4% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 80M | – |
| EPS Growth | 251.7% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $156M | 1.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $339M | 4.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $534M | 6.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $6.32B | 75.7% of assets |
TRN quarterly financials and insider trading
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trinity Industries Inc (Railroad Equipment): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) stock news
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Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, TRN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Trinity Industries Inc stock predictions?
For TRN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Trinity Industries Inc forecasts updated?
Trinity Industries Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Trinity Industries Inc's industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, TRN included, share the SEC industry code Railroad Equipment. The largest are: Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB), Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX), Freightcar America, Inc. (RAIL), Rail Vision Ltd. (RVSN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.