Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Gfl Environmental Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Gfl Environmental Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $16.27B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 12 Refuse Systems issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 39.0% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For GFL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How GFL ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Refuse Systems peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $16.27B | 4/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.17x | 5/6 |
| EPS | $4.78 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $55.55 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 39.0% | 1/9 |
| ROA | 14.7% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 17.1% | 9/11 |
| Net Margin | 9.9% | 4/9 |
| EBT Margin | -3.1% | 6/10 |
| Tax Rate | 26.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.58x | 9/12 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.55x | 4/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.62x | 8/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.64x | 8/11 |
| Working Capital | -$607M | 10/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.54B | 3/11 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.49x | 2/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 35.9x | 1/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 391.4x | 2/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 10 days | 8/8 |
| Days Inventory | 1 days | 4/5 |
| Payables Period | 29 days | 10/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -18 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $20.61B | 2/8 |
| Net Income | $2.04B | 3/9 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.65B | 2/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $17.08B | 1/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GFL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 371M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)
| Total Current Assets | $848M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $62M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $584M | |
| Inventory | $44M | |
| Total Liabilities | $8.60B | |
| Short-term Debt | $80M |
GFL quarterly financials and insider trading
Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Gfl Environmental Inc. (Refuse Systems): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GFL Gfl Environmental Inc. | ▼ | $16.27B |
| WM Waste Management Inc | ▼ | $90.68B |
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. | ▼ | $70.90B |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | ▼ | $42.32B |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc | ▼ | $5.60B |
| NVRI Enviri Corp | ▶ | $548M |
| DBHL Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. | ▼ | $178M |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corp | ▲ | $24M |
| AWX Avalon Holdings Corp | ▲ | $10M |
| RENX Renx Enterprises Corp. | ▶ | $5M |
| SNRG Susglobal Energy Corp. | ▶ | $1M |
| VIVK Vivakor, Inc. | ▼ | $810K |
Where GFL sits on the market map
Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) stock news
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Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Gfl Environmental Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Gfl Environmental Inc. stock predictions?
For GFL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Gfl Environmental Inc. forecasts updated?
Gfl Environmental Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Gfl Environmental Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, GFL included, share the SEC industry code Refuse Systems. The largest are: Waste Management Inc (WM), Republic Services, Inc. (RSG), Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN), Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST), Enviri Corp (NVRI), Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc. (DBHL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.