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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 32.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.63B small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, GNL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Global Net Lease, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.63B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GNL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GNL price chart and AI forecast

GNL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GNL ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.63B $11.29B 60/60
P/B Ratio 1.08x 2.08x 47/57
Dividend Yield 10.20% 4.72% 6/55
EPS $-1.09 – –
Book Value/Share $6.87 – –
Revenue/Share $2.09 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Operating Margin 39.6% 39.1% 15/30
EBT Margin 1.3% 26.2% 43/45
Tax Rate 373.4% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.69x 1.13x 16/57
Financial Leverage 2.69x 2.15x 17/56
Interest Coverage 0.7x 3.3x 43/48

Cash Flow

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $218M $870M 59/60
OCF Growth YoY -12.0% 4.9% 55/59

Operational Efficiency

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.11x 0.13x 40/55

Income Statement

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $460M $1.93B 56/56
Operating Income $182M $704M 29/31

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.76 – –
Shares Outstanding 220M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$154M3.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.56B62.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GNL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Investment Trusts

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Global Net Lease, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GNL Global Net Lease, Inc. ▶ $1.63B – 1.1x
WELL Welltower Inc. ▼ $161.03B 116.7x 3.7x
PLD Prologis, Inc. ▶ $116.81B 31.6x 2.2x
EQIX Equinix Inc ▼ $97.29B 63.5x 6.8x
AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ ▼ $86.33B 25.5x 23.2x
SPG Simon Property Group Inc. ▼ $66.47B 14.5x 11.3x
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. ▼ $60.44B 46.7x 2.6x
O Realty Income Corp ▶ $53.06B 42.5x 1.3x
PSA Public Storage ▼ $52.39B 28.5x 5.7x
VMRK Vivmark Residential ▼ $47.34B 22.3x 4.5x
VTR Ventas, Inc. ▶ $43.53B 160.1x 3.0x
CCI Crown Castle Inc. ▲ $35.00B 50.5x –
IRM Iron Mountain Inc ▼ $33.49B 114.8x –
EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. ▼ $30.74B 30.9x 2.3x
VICI Vici Properties Inc. ▼ $25.99B 10.4x 0.9x
SBAC Sba Communications Corp ▼ $19.84B 20.2x –
ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. ▼ $17.32B 42.0x 3.3x
HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▶ $16.65B 21.2x 2.6x
KIM Kimco Realty Corp ▼ $15.37B 26.6x 1.5x
LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New ▼ $15.20B 27.4x 15.5x
WPC W. P. Carey Inc. ▶ $14.68B 22.0x 1.7x
SUI Sun Communities Inc ▼ $14.60B 10.6x 2.2x
WY Weyerhaeuser Co ▶ $13.97B 34.6x 1.5x
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc ▶ $13.83B 17.1x 2.6x
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc ▼ $13.74B 4.6x 0.8x
MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. ▼ $13.65B 35.3x 2.5x
REG Regency Centers Corp ▼ $13.40B 25.1x 1.9x
AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. ▼ $12.41B 102.4x 3.4x
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc ▼ $11.87B 30.6x 6.7x
GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. ▼ $11.75B 12.2x 2.4x
UDR Udr, Inc. ▼ $11.32B 23.3x 3.5x
AMH American Homes 4 Rent ▼ $11.26B 25.9x 1.7x
EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc ▼ $10.56B 34.5x 3.0x
BXP Bxp, Inc. ▶ $9.45B 26.3x 1.8x
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust ▼ $9.18B 18.4x 2.8x
CUBE Cubesmart ▶ $8.89B 27.3x 3.4x
CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. ▶ $8.64B 22.8x 1.9x
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. ▼ $8.49B 22.9x 2.8x
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. ▼ $8.21B – 1.1x
NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. ▼ $7.97B 20.0x 1.8x
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. ▶ $7.95B 30.7x 10.6x
FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc ▶ $7.79B 18.9x 2.8x
ADC Agree Realty Corp ▼ $7.65B 37.4x 1.2x
LINE Lineage, Inc. ▼ $7.58B – 1.0x
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. ▲ $7.25B – 0.5x
STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. ▶ $6.69B 27.8x 1.9x
MAC Macerich Co ▶ $6.51B – 2.3x
VNO Vornado Realty Trust ▶ $6.20B 57.3x 1.1x
HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc ▼ $6.06B – 1.4x
RYN Rayonier Inc ▲ $5.68B 6.3x 1.1x
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. ▶ $5.64B 20.1x 1.3x
OUT Outfront Media Inc. ▼ $5.35B 26.2x 7.7x
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust ▼ $5.06B 14.8x 1.8x
SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. ▶ $4.94B 71.6x 1.8x
PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. ▼ $4.94B 34.1x 2.1x
RITM Rithm Capital Corp. ▶ $4.84B 15.8x 0.6x
STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. ▲ $4.67B 16.2x 0.7x
CUZ Cousins Properties Inc ▶ $4.55B 89.2x 1.0x
EPR Epr Properties ▼ $4.27B 17.6x 1.9x
KRC Kilroy Realty Corp ▶ $4.12B 19.0x 0.8x

Where GNL sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Investment Trusts
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News

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FAQ

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, GNL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Global Net Lease, Inc. stock predictions?

For GNL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Global Net Lease, Inc. forecasts updated?

Global Net Lease, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Global Net Lease, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, GNL included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.