Earnings preview: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Q3 earnings expected to decline
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) reports ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
66.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$1.29B
small-cap · #7 of 11 peers
Summary
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.29B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 11 Retail-Grocery Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For GO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 66.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GO included.
Price
GO price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How GO ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-07-04
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Grocery Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.29B | 7/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.58x | 6/10 |
| EPS | $-4.12 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $8.24 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $47.86 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.12 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -46.7% | 6/7 |
| ROA | -12.7% | 6/7 |
| ROIC | -14.4% | 7/8 |
| Gross Margin | 30.0% | 3/10 |
| Operating Margin | -7.9% | 8/9 |
| Net Margin | -8.0% | 6/7 |
| EBT Margin | -8.5% | 8/9 |
| Tax Rate | 5.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29x | 4/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.30x | 8/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.67x | 6/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.67x | 3/8 |
| Interest Coverage | -7.2x | 8/10 |
| Working Capital | $116M | 3/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $185M | 6/10 |
| Free Cash Flow | $12M | 8/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$173M | 6/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -5.0% | 6/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 0.3% | 8/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.6% | 2/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.58x | 8/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 399.7x | 1/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 8.4x | 8/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.1x | 6/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 1 days | 8/8 |
| Days Inventory | 43 days | 1/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.74B | 6/9 |
| Operating Income | -$374M | 10/10 |
| Net Income | -$381M | 7/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.35B | 3/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.32B | 5/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 99M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -4787.7% | 6/6 |
| EPS Growth | -1429.0% | 6/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $515M | 17.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $74M | 2.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $12M | 0.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $395M | 13.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.18B | 72.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
GO quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Grocery Stores
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (Retail-Grocery Stores): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.29B | |
| KR Kroger Co | $39.98B | |
| ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. | $6.02B | |
| SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | $4.53B | |
| WMK Weis Markets Inc | $1.96B | |
| YSWY Yesway, Inc. | $1.59B | |
| IMKTA Ingles Markets Inc | $1.56B | |
| NGVC Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. | $674M | |
| VLGEA Village Super Market Inc | $631M | |
| HOST Host Digital Inc. | $54M | |
| MSS Maison Solutions Inc. | $840K | |
| ASAIY Sendas Distributor S.A. | N/A |
Where GO sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Retail-Grocery Stores
News
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock news
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q1 2026: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Greetings, and welcome to the Grocery Outlet's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to ...
FAQ
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. stock predictions?
For GO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 66.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. forecasts updated?
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, GO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Grocery Stores. The largest are: Kroger Co (KR), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM), Weis Markets Inc (WMK), Yesway, Inc. (YSWY), Ingles Markets Inc (IMKTA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.