Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $705M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Grocery Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NGVC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NGVC included.
Follow NGVC freeNGVC price chart and AI forecast
How NGVC ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Grocery Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $705M | 8/10 |
| P/E Ratio | 10.03x | 7/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.95x | 4/9 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.86% | 4/6 |
| EPS | $3.05 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.39 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $58.31 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.99 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.9% | 2/6 |
| ROA | 6.9% | 2/6 |
| ROIC | 11.9% | 2/7 |
| Gross Margin | 29.6% | 3/9 |
| Operating Margin | 4.7% | 2/8 |
| Net Margin | 3.5% | 2/6 |
| EBT Margin | 4.5% | 2/8 |
| Tax Rate | 21.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.10x | 6/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.87x | 7/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.87x | 4/7 |
| Interest Coverage | 22.6x | 3/9 |
| Working Capital | $16M | 6/10 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $71M | 8/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $23M | 7/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$48M | 1/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 10.2% | 4/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -34.2% | 5/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 1.7% | 4/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.6% | 3/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.95x | 6/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 126.6x | 3/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.5x | 4/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 3 days | 5/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.34B | 8/8 |
| Operating Income | $63M | 7/9 |
| Net Income | $48M | 5/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.57 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 18.7% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 23M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 9.1% | 2/6 |
| EPS Growth | 94.3% | 1/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $174M | 25.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $17M | 2.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $11M | 1.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $448M | 65.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $69M | 10.0% of assets |
NGVC quarterly financials and insider trading
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (Retail-Grocery Stores): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NGVC Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. | ▼ | $705M |
| KR Kroger Co | ▶ | $37.58B |
| ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. | ▶ | $6.36B |
| SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | ▶ | $6.21B |
| WMK Weis Markets Inc | ▶ | $1.86B |
| IMKTA Ingles Markets Inc | ▼ | $1.64B |
| YSWY Yesway, Inc. | ▼ | $1.44B |
| GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | ▲ | $1.28B |
| VLGEA Village Super Market Inc | ▶ | $656M |
| MSS Maison Solutions Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| ASAIY Sendas Distributor S.A. | ▲ | N/A |
Where NGVC sits on the market map
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) stock news
Loading...
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. stock predictions?
For NGVC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. forecasts updated?
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc.'s industry peers?
11 issuers in our coverage, NGVC included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Grocery Stores. The largest are: Kroger Co (KR), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM), Weis Markets Inc (WMK), Ingles Markets Inc (IMKTA), Yesway, Inc. (YSWY).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.