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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ioneer Ltd (IONR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5185 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 11.0% Spearman, 272 dates
Market Cap $226M small-cap · #11 of 20 peers
Summary

Ioneer Ltd (IONR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ioneer Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ioneer Ltd is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $226M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 20 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 0.01x is the lowest of the 17 peers that report one.

For IONR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 272 forecast dates between 2024-03-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 315 forecast dates between 2024-03-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

IONR price chart and AI forecast

IONR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How IONR ranks among 5185 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Ioneer Ltd (IONR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricIONRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $226M $331M 11/20

Financial Health

MetricIONRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 8.58x 2.56x 3/18
D/E Ratio 0.01x 0.48x 17/17
Financial Leverage 1.01x 1.64x 16/16
Working Capital $16M $38M 13/17

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIONRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 82M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$18M
Cash & Short-term Investments$18M
Accounts Receivable$510K
Total Liabilities$2M
Short-term Debt$450K
Quarterly Financial Reports

IONR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

Ioneer Ltd (IONR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ioneer Ltd (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IONR Ioneer Ltd ▲ $226M – –
VMC Vulcan Materials Co ▼ $34.04B 30.7x 4.0x
TECK Teck Resources Ltd ▶ $31.57B – –
MLM Martin Marietta Materials Inc ▼ $30.08B 12.3x 2.6x
SQM Chemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc ▼ $17.19B – –
HL Hecla Mining Co/De/ ▲ $10.28B 26.8x 5.2x
USLM United States Lime & Minerals Inc ▼ $3.04B 22.7x 4.4x
KNF Knife River Corp ▶ $2.87B 20.6x 1.8x
TTAM Titan America Sa ▶ $2.65B – –
CMP Compass Minerals International Inc ▼ $934M 31.4x 3.6x
IPI Intrepid Potash, Inc. ▶ $435M 18.3x 0.9x
SND Smart Sand, Inc. ▲ $215M – 0.9x
ABAT American Battery Technology Co ▲ $211M – 1.7x
ACRG American Clean Resources Group, Inc. ▼ $141M – –
GRO Brazil Potash Corp. ▶ $125M – –
FEAM 5e Advanced Materials, Inc. ▲ $122M – 1.9x
ATLX Atlas Lithium Corp ▲ $68M – 1.4x
ELBM Electra Battery Materials Corp ▶ $50M – –
LGO Largo Inc. ▲ $44M – –
BLTH American Battery Materials, Inc. ▼ $10M – –
ILXP Ecominas Corp. ▼ N/A – –
MGNC Mag Magna Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where IONR sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
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News

Ioneer Ltd (IONR) stock news

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FAQ

Ioneer Ltd (IONR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ioneer Ltd (IONR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ioneer Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ioneer Ltd stock predictions?

For IONR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 272 forecast dates between 2024-03-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 315 forecast dates between 2024-03-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ioneer Ltd forecasts updated?

Ioneer Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ioneer Ltd's industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, IONR included, share the SEC industry code Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels). The largest are: Vulcan Materials Co (VMC), Teck Resources Ltd (TECK), Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM), Chemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc (SQM), Hecla Mining Co/De/ (HL), United States Lime & Minerals Inc (USLM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.