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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $33.35B large-cap · #1 of 20 peers
Summary

Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Vulcan Materials Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Vulcan Materials Co is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $33.35B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 20 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For VMC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VMC included.

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Price

VMC price chart and AI forecast

VMC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How VMC ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $33.35B $324M 1/20
P/E Ratio 30.05x 22.92x 2/7
P/B Ratio 3.95x 1.90x 3/11
Dividend Yield 0.78% 0.68% 2/5
EPS $8.40 – –
Book Value/Share $63.96 – –
Revenue/Share $61.01 – –
FCF/Share $8.45 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.2% 5.1% 3/9
ROA 6.7% -15.2% 3/11
ROIC 10.6% 7.8% 5/12
Gross Margin 27.7% 27.7% 5/9
Operating Margin 20.6% 14.4% 5/10
Net Margin 13.8% 4.2% 3/7
EBT Margin 17.9% 11.7% 4/10
Tax Rate 22.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.59x 2.56x 9/18
Quick Ratio 1.89x 1.91x 7/11
D/E Ratio 0.97x 0.48x 4/17
Financial Leverage 1.97x 1.64x 4/16
Interest Coverage 19.8x 0.3x 4/13
Working Capital $1.59B $38M 1/17

Cash Flow

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.80B $23M 1/14
Free Cash Flow $1.12B $39M 1/10
Capital Spending -$686M -$51M 9/10
OCF Growth YoY 21.2% 18.3% 4/8
FCF Growth YoY 28.5% 24.0% 3/6
FCF/Sales 13.8% 10.9% 3/8
CapEx/Sales 8.5% 10.0% 6/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.48x 0.39x 4/8
Inventory Turnover 8.4x 7.2x 4/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.0x 0.9x 4/8
Days Inventory 44 days 52 days 5/8

Income Statement

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $8.06B $387M 1/9
Operating Income $1.66B $9M 1/14
Net Income $1.11B $0.00M 2/11
SG&A Expense $562M $42M 1/7
Cost of Goods Sold $5.83B $553M 1/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVMCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.98 – –
Payout Ratio 23.6% – –
Shares Outstanding 132M – –
Net Income Growth 18.7% – –
EPS Growth 19.1% 25.4% 4/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.58B15.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$140M0.8% of assets
Inventory$696M4.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.20B49.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VMC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vulcan Materials Co (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VMC Vulcan Materials Co ▼ $33.35B 30.1x 4.0x
TECK Teck Resources Ltd ▶ $32.11B – –
MLM Martin Marietta Materials Inc ▼ $29.51B 12.1x 2.6x
SQM Chemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc ▼ $17.27B – –
HL Hecla Mining Co/De/ ▲ $10.45B 27.3x 5.3x
USLM United States Lime & Minerals Inc ▼ $3.07B 22.9x 4.4x
KNF Knife River Corp ▶ $2.84B 20.4x 1.8x
TTAM Titan America Sa ▼ $2.65B – –
CMP Compass Minerals International Inc ▼ $934M 31.4x 3.6x
IPI Intrepid Potash, Inc. ▶ $434M 18.2x 0.8x
SND Smart Sand, Inc. ▲ $215M – 0.9x
IONR Ioneer Ltd ▲ $214M – –
ABAT American Battery Technology Co ▶ $211M – 1.7x
ACRG American Clean Resources Group, Inc. ▼ $141M – –
GRO Brazil Potash Corp. ▶ $128M – –
FEAM 5e Advanced Materials, Inc. ▲ $122M – 1.9x
ATLX Atlas Lithium Corp ▲ $69M – 1.5x
ELBM Electra Battery Materials Corp ▶ $50M – –
LGO Largo Inc. ▲ $42M – –
BLTH American Battery Materials, Inc. ▼ $10M – –
ILXP Ecominas Corp. ▼ N/A – –
MGNC Mag Magna Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where VMC sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
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News

Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) stock news

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FAQ

Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Vulcan Materials Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Vulcan Materials Co stock predictions?

For VMC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Vulcan Materials Co forecasts updated?

Vulcan Materials Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Vulcan Materials Co's industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, VMC included, share the SEC industry code Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels). The largest are: Teck Resources Ltd (TECK), Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM), Chemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc (SQM), Hecla Mining Co/De/ (HL), United States Lime & Minerals Inc (USLM), Knife River Corp (KNF).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.