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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-09

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) Stock Forecast Nov. 9, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 9, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage of 4012 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -28.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $327M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $327M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For JMSB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -28.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +6.4%, buy ≥ +4.4%, sell < +2.2%, strong sell < +0.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-09 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JMSB included.

Price

JMSB price chart and AI forecast

JMSB
Cross-section · 2026-11-09

How JMSB ranks among 4012 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $327M $4.29B 60/60
P/E Ratio 14.15x 11.91x 13/58
P/B Ratio 1.18x 1.31x 40/57
Dividend Yield 2.51% 2.62% 30/51
EPS $1.64 – –
Book Value/Share $19.64 – –
Revenue/Share $4.92 – –
FCF/Share $1.97 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.6% 10.7% 40/55
ROA 1.1% 1.2% 34/52
Net Margin 38.3% 31.5% 12/56
EBT Margin 49.5% 39.8% 14/57
Tax Rate 22.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 7.79x 7.37x 26/59
Financial Leverage 8.79x 8.30x 23/54

Cash Flow

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $28M $420M 54/58
Free Cash Flow $28M $316M 42/45
Capital Spending -$70K -$19M 1/45
OCF Growth YoY 31.2% 19.8% 26/55
FCF Growth YoY 36.0% 23.3% 17/43
FCF/Sales 40.0% 37.7% 21/44
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 1.9% 44/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.04x 42/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 68.6x 5.5x 1/55

Income Statement

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $69M $1.11B 57/57
Net Income $27M $343M 56/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricJMSBIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.58 – –
Payout Ratio 35.4% 29.6% 18/51
Shares Outstanding 14M – –
Net Income Growth 32.3% 19.3% 19/55
EPS Growth 28.1% 21.1% 24/55

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$191M7.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.16B88.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

JMSB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
JMSB John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. $327M 14.2x 1.2x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia $113.35B 11.9x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft $66.30B 9.8x –
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp $48.10B 15.3x 1.4x
STT State Street Corp $45.05B 13.5x 1.6x
MTB M&T Bank Corp $31.45B 11.4x 1.1x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp $31.29B 13.6x 2.3x
BBD Bank Bradesco $26.92B – –
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri $26.51B 11.0x 1.1x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ $25.68B 11.7x 1.2x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc $17.65B 12.3x 2.0x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. $11.61B 8.3x 0.8x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp $10.21B 11.6x 1.4x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp $10.07B 10.1x 1.1x
BPOP Popular, Inc. $9.98B 10.6x 1.6x
CBC Central Bancompany, Inc. $9.04B – 2.3x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc $8.64B 12.5x 1.0x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. $8.62B 11.4x 1.2x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation $8.13B 8.4x 1.1x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ $7.89B 13.7x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv $6.57B 14.2x 1.2x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. $6.27B 16.2x 1.4x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc $5.97B 9.9x 1.3x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp $5.73B 16.3x 1.4x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp $5.64B 10.9x 1.0x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp $5.62B 11.4x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp $5.49B 14.3x 1.3x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. $4.49B 13.1x 2.2x
UCB United Community Banks Inc $4.46B 34.3x 1.3x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc $4.36B 15.8x 4.1x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx $4.29B 11.6x 1.2x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $4.28B 10.0x 1.4x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp $4.20B 10.0x 1.3x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp $4.00B 14.4x 1.3x
INDB Independent Bank Corp $3.98B 15.2x 1.1x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ $3.97B 9.4x 2.1x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc $3.60B 12.3x 1.1x
RNST Renasant Corp $3.60B 12.2x 0.9x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp $3.26B 12.1x 8.1x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida $3.25B 19.7x 1.3x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. $3.04B 11.6x 1.1x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. $2.86B 9.9x 1.3x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp $2.73B 10.5x 1.5x
FBK Fb Financial Corp $2.71B 9.9x 1.4x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ $2.67B 13.3x 1.6x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. $2.46B 15.3x 1.9x
BANR Banner Corp $2.38B 11.9x 3.6x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp $2.38B 7.4x 1.0x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ $2.36B 13.1x 1.1x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp $2.21B 12.5x 1.2x
OFG Ofg Bancorp $2.15B 9.7x 1.6x
SRCE 1st Source Corp $2.09B 11.9x 1.6x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. $2.07B 15.2x 1.0x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. $1.88B 11.9x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc $1.79B 13.2x 1.3x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ $1.78B 14.0x 1.5x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. $1.72B 11.7x 1.4x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / $1.67B 10.2x 1.3x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc $1.65B 11.9x 1.4x
OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc. $1.64B 11.0x 1.3x

Where JMSB sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) stock news

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FAQ

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) stock forecast?

Our AI scores John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. stock predictions?

For JMSB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -28.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. forecasts updated?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 9, 2026.

Which companies are John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, JMSB included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), M&T Bank Corp (MTB), Northern Trust Corp (NTRS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.