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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Knife River Corp (KNF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 42.0% Spearman, 303 dates
Market Cap $2.87B mid-cap · #7 of 20 peers
Summary

Knife River Corp (KNF) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, KNF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Knife River Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.87B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 20 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For KNF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 303 forecast dates between 2023-08-11 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 346 forecast dates between 2023-08-11 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

KNF price chart and AI forecast

KNF
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How KNF ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Knife River Corp (KNF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.87B $331M 7/20
P/E Ratio 20.61x 22.71x 5/7
P/B Ratio 1.79x 1.90x 7/11
EPS $2.45 – –
Book Value/Share $28.29 – –
Revenue/Share $58.27 – –
FCF/Share $0.76 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.7% 5.1% 4/9
ROA 3.4% -15.2% 5/11
ROIC 7.4% 7.8% 7/12
Gross Margin 19.3% 27.7% 6/9
Operating Margin 8.3% 14.4% 6/10
Net Margin 4.2% 4.2% 4/7
EBT Margin 5.8% 11.7% 6/10
Tax Rate 26.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.66x 2.56x 8/18
Quick Ratio 1.60x 1.91x 8/11
D/E Ratio 1.60x 0.48x 3/17
Financial Leverage 2.60x 1.64x 3/16
Interest Coverage 2.9x 0.3x 6/13
Working Capital $794M $38M 2/17

Cash Flow

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $313M $23M 4/14
Free Cash Flow $43M $39M 5/10
Capital Spending -$270M -$51M 8/10
OCF Growth YoY 28.0% 18.3% 3/8
FCF/Sales 1.3% 10.9% 6/8
CapEx/Sales 8.2% 10.0% 7/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.79x 0.39x 2/8
Receivables Turnover 7.1x 6.6x 3/6
Inventory Turnover 5.3x 7.2x 6/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.5x 0.9x 3/8
Days Sales Outstanding 52 days 55 days 4/6
Days Inventory 69 days 52 days 3/8
Payables Period 31 days 28 days 3/7
Cash Conversion Cycle 90 days 90 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.31B $387M 3/9
Operating Income $275M $9M 4/14
Net Income $140M $0.00M 3/11
SG&A Expense $314M $42M 3/7
Cost of Goods Sold $2.67B $553M 3/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricKNFIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 57M – –
Net Income Growth -8.7% – –
EPS Growth 31.7% 25.4% 3/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.27B30.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$41M1.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$468M11.2% of assets
Inventory$507M12.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.57B61.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$249M6.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

KNF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

Knife River Corp (KNF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Knife River Corp (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
KNF Knife River Corp ▶ $2.87B 20.6x 1.8x
VMC Vulcan Materials Co ▼ $34.04B 30.7x 4.0x
TECK Teck Resources Ltd ▶ $31.57B – –
MLM Martin Marietta Materials Inc ▼ $30.08B 12.3x 2.6x
SQM Chemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc ▼ $17.19B – –
HL Hecla Mining Co/De/ ▲ $10.28B 26.8x 5.2x
USLM United States Lime & Minerals Inc ▼ $3.04B 22.7x 4.4x
TTAM Titan America Sa ▶ $2.65B – –
CMP Compass Minerals International Inc ▼ $934M 31.4x 3.6x
IPI Intrepid Potash, Inc. ▶ $435M 18.3x 0.9x
IONR Ioneer Ltd ▲ $226M – –
SND Smart Sand, Inc. ▲ $215M – 0.9x
ABAT American Battery Technology Co ▲ $211M – 1.7x
ACRG American Clean Resources Group, Inc. ▼ $141M – –
GRO Brazil Potash Corp. ▶ $125M – –
FEAM 5e Advanced Materials, Inc. ▲ $122M – 1.9x
ATLX Atlas Lithium Corp ▲ $68M – 1.4x
ELBM Electra Battery Materials Corp ▶ $50M – –
LGO Largo Inc. ▲ $44M – –
BLTH American Battery Materials, Inc. ▼ $10M – –
ILXP Ecominas Corp. ▼ N/A – –
MGNC Mag Magna Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where KNF sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
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News

Knife River Corp (KNF) stock news

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FAQ

Knife River Corp (KNF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Knife River Corp (KNF) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, KNF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Knife River Corp stock predictions?

For KNF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 303 forecast dates between 2023-08-11 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 346 forecast dates between 2023-08-11 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Knife River Corp forecasts updated?

Knife River Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Knife River Corp's industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, KNF included, share the SEC industry code Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels). The largest are: Vulcan Materials Co (VMC), Teck Resources Ltd (TECK), Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM), Chemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc (SQM), Hecla Mining Co/De/ (HL), United States Lime & Minerals Inc (USLM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.