Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.59B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 8 Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For KTOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How KTOS ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $7.59B | 3/8 |
| P/E Ratio | 310.93x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.21x | 5/7 |
| EPS | $0.13 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $18.25 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $8.11 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.69 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 0.9% | – |
| ROA | 0.8% | 2/5 |
| ROIC | 0.5% | 2/5 |
| Gross Margin | 23.0% | 4/7 |
| Operating Margin | 1.2% | 2/7 |
| Net Margin | 2.0% | 2/5 |
| EBT Margin | 2.7% | 2/7 |
| Tax Rate | 24.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.54x | 2/8 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.52x | 1/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.19x | 6/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.19x | 5/6 |
| Working Capital | $1.93B | 3/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$40M | 4/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$129M | 2/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$89M | 2/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -466.7% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -8.5% | 2/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 5.9% | 4/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.37x | 2/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.9x | 2/6 |
| Inventory Turnover | 156.3x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.0x | 3/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 41 days | 5/6 |
| Days Inventory | 2 days | – |
| Payables Period | 33 days | 5/6 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 11 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.52B | 2/6 |
| Operating Income | $18M | 2/7 |
| Net Income | $31M | 2/5 |
| R&D Expense | $44M | 3/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $283M | 1/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.17B | 2/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | KTOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 188M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 113.1% | – |
| EPS Growth | 62.5% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.36B | 57.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.44B | 35.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $171M | 4.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $8M | 0.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $663M | 16.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $320M | 7.8% of assets |
KTOS quarterly financials and insider trading
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $7.59B |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corp | ▼ | $127.42B |
| RKLB Rocket Lab Corp | ▼ | $30.42B |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | ▼ | $2.80B |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc./Tx | ▶ | $1.55B |
| YSS York Space Systems Inc. | ▶ | $766M |
| MNTS Momentus Inc. | ▼ | $57M |
| HLEO Helio Corp /Fl/ | ▼ | $25M |
Where KTOS sits on the market map
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) stock news
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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. stock predictions?
For KTOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. forecasts updated?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s industry peers?
8 issuers in our coverage, KTOS included, share the SEC industry code Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts. The largest are: Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT), Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB), Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY), Voyager Technologies, Inc./Tx (VOYG), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS), Momentus Inc. (MNTS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.