Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Receives a Hold from Goldman Sachs
Detailed price information for Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB-Q) from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
30.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$33.06B
large-cap · #2 of 8 peers
Summary
Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Rocket Lab Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Rocket Lab Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $33.06B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 8 Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For RKLB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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RKLB price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How RKLB ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $33.06B | 2/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.47x | 2/7 |
| EPS | $-0.32 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $5.84 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.29 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.62 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -4.7% | – |
| ROA | -4.0% | 3/5 |
| ROIC | -6.1% | 3/5 |
| Gross Margin | 37.3% | 2/7 |
| Operating Margin | -29.1% | 3/7 |
| Net Margin | -21.5% | 3/5 |
| EBT Margin | -24.9% | 3/7 |
| Tax Rate | 13.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.48x | 3/8 |
| Quick Ratio | 4.98x | 3/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.20x | 5/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.20x | 4/6 |
| Interest Coverage | -16.9x | 4/7 |
| Working Capital | $2.37B | 2/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$222M | 6/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$371M | 5/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$149M | 3/5 |
| FCF/Sales | -48.2% | 3/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 19.3% | 2/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.18x | 5/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.8x | 3/6 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.8x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.9x | 4/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 54 days | 4/6 |
| Days Inventory | 202 days | – |
| Payables Period | 56 days | 4/6 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 199 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $769M | 3/6 |
| Operating Income | -$223M | 6/7 |
| Net Income | -$165M | 5/5 |
| R&D Expense | $312M | 1/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $198M | 2/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $483M | 3/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RKLB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 598M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.90B | 69.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.13B | 50.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $113M | 2.7% of assets |
| Inventory | $267M | 6.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $695M | 16.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $454M | 10.8% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
RKLB quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Rocket Lab Corp (Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RKLB Rocket Lab Corp | ▼ | $33.06B |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corp | ▼ | $122.93B |
| KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $7.65B |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | ▼ | $2.80B |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc./Tx | ▶ | $1.63B |
| YSS York Space Systems Inc. | ▶ | $838M |
| MNTS Momentus Inc. | ▼ | $62M |
| HLEO Helio Corp /Fl/ | ▼ | $25M |
Where RKLB sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
News
Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) stock news
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FAQ
Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Rocket Lab Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Rocket Lab Corp stock predictions?
For RKLB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Rocket Lab Corp forecasts updated?
Rocket Lab Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Rocket Lab Corp's industry peers?
8 issuers in our coverage, RKLB included, share the SEC industry code Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts. The largest are: Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS), Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY), Voyager Technologies, Inc./Tx (VOYG), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS), Momentus Inc. (MNTS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.