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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Matson, Inc. (MATX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 14.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $7.03B mid-cap · #6 of 18 peers
Summary

Matson, Inc. (MATX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Matson, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Matson, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.03B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 18 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MATX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MATX included.

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Price

MATX price chart and AI forecast

MATX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MATX ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Matson, Inc. (MATX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.03B $2.49B 6/18
P/E Ratio 15.85x 16.50x 6/10
P/B Ratio 2.53x 2.11x 4/13
Dividend Yield 0.63% – –
EPS $14.83 – –
Book Value/Share $92.74 – –
Revenue/Share $115.68 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
ROE 16.7% 18.3% 6/9
ROA 9.8% 6.8% 4/10
ROIC 12.8% 14.1% 7/12
Gross Margin -135.9% 42.5% 7/7
Operating Margin 15.2% 19.3% 7/12
Net Margin 13.4% 17.7% 7/11
EBT Margin 15.9% 14.9% 6/12
Tax Rate 15.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.89x 0.79x 7/16
D/E Ratio 0.70x 0.88x 11/15
Financial Leverage 1.70x 2.75x 12/15
Interest Coverage 63.6x 2.5x 3/16
Working Capital -$68M -$37M 10/16

Cash Flow

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $584M $492M 7/14
OCF Growth YoY -5.5% 13.7% 9/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.73x 0.43x 2/7
Receivables Turnover 10.3x 23.5x 5/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.3x 0.6x 1/6
Days Sales Outstanding 35 days 23 days 4/8
Payables Period 13 days 17 days 7/7

Income Statement

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.46B $10.72B 7/8
Operating Income $525M $371M 6/15
Net Income $464M $347M 4/11
Cost of Goods Sold $8.16B $7.26B 4/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMATXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.49 – –
Payout Ratio 10.1% – –
Shares Outstanding 30M – –
Net Income Growth -6.1% -0.2% 5/8
EPS Growth 1.0% 2.5% 6/9

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$536M11.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$119M2.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$335M7.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.94B41.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$306M6.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MATX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Water Transportation

Matson, Inc. (MATX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Matson, Inc. (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MATX Matson, Inc. ▼ $7.03B 15.9x 2.5x
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd ▼ $74.27B 17.2x 7.3x
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd ▼ $37.01B 18.7x –
CCL Carnival Corp Ltd. ▼ $34.83B 12.4x 1.5x
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. ▶ $17.29B 46.2x –
KEX Kirby Corp ▶ $7.20B 21.0x 2.1x
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ▼ $6.91B 11.3x 2.7x
GLNG Golar Lng Ltd ▶ $4.58B 26.8x 2.4x
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. ▶ $3.35B 9.0x 1.6x
NAT Nordic American Tankers Ltd ▲ $1.62B – 2.5x
FLNG Flex Lng Ltd. ▶ $1.53B 7.6x 2.2x
CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Ltd ▲ $475M – 0.7x
KNOP Knot Offshore Partners Lp ▶ $336M – –
EDRY Eurodry Ltd. ▲ $131M – 1.2x
DLNG Dynagas Lng Partners Lp ▶ $121M – 0.3x
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc ▶ $38M – –
USEA United Maritime Corp ▲ $24M – 0.5x
RUBI Rubico Inc. ▼ $350K – –

Where MATX sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Water Transportation
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News

Matson, Inc. (MATX) stock news

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FAQ

Matson, Inc. (MATX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Matson, Inc. (MATX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Matson, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Matson, Inc. stock predictions?

For MATX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Matson, Inc. forecasts updated?

Matson, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Matson, Inc.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, MATX included, share the SEC industry code Water Transportation. The largest are: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL), Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK), Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL), Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP), Kirby Corp (KEX), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.