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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 43.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.10B mid-cap · #10 of 10 peers
Summary

Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Miniso Group Holding Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Miniso Group Holding Ltd is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.10B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MNSO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MNSO included.

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Price

MNSO price chart and AI forecast

MNSO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MNSO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2022-03-31

Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricMNSOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.10B $18.15B 10/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMNSOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 304M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)

Total Liabilities$648M
Quarterly Financial Reports

MNSO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Variety Stores

Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Miniso Group Holding Ltd (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd ▼ $3.10B – –
WMT Walmart Inc. ▼ $942.61B 44.8x 12.1x
COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New ▼ $439.04B 47.7x 12.3x
TGT Target Corp ▼ $70.08B 19.5x 3.9x
DG Dollar General Corp ▼ $29.64B 17.5x 3.2x
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. ▼ $23.30B 19.4x 6.8x
BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. ▶ $13.00B 22.4x 5.9x
FIVE Five Below, Inc ▶ $12.26B 18.7x 5.0x
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ▼ $5.54B 39.0x 2.9x
PSMT Pricesmart Inc ▼ $5.24B 32.6x 3.8x

Where MNSO sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Variety Stores
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News

Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) stock news

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FAQ

Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Miniso Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Miniso Group Holding Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Miniso Group Holding Ltd stock predictions?

For MNSO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Miniso Group Holding Ltd forecasts updated?

Miniso Group Holding Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Miniso Group Holding Ltd's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, MNSO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar General Corp (DG), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.