Matrix Service Co (MTRX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MTRX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Matrix Service Co is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $283M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 14 Construction - Special Trade Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MTRX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MTRX included.
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How MTRX ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Matrix Service Co (MTRX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction - Special Trade Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $283M | 8/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.00x | 4/9 |
| EPS | $-0.09 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $5.01 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $30.88 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.05 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 7.3% | 10/11 |
| Operating Margin | -1.1% | 7/13 |
| EBT Margin | -0.2% | 5/13 |
| Tax Rate | -16.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.25x | 3/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.25x | 3/9 |
| Interest Coverage | -8.3x | 8/10 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $7M | 5/13 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1M | 5/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$5M | 3/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -94.1% | 4/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -98.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 0.2% | 5/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.6% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.45x | 2/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $874M | 4/7 |
| Operating Income | -$10M | 9/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $64M | 6/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $810M | 4/12 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MTRX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 28M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Liabilities | $461M | 76.5% of assets |
MTRX quarterly financials and insider trading
Matrix Service Co (MTRX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Matrix Service Co (Construction - Special Trade Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MTRX Matrix Service Co | ▶ | $283M |
| AGX Argan Inc | ▶ | $4.85B |
| LGN Legence Corp. | ▲ | $4.70B |
| FACT Sunpower Inc. | ▼ | $2.24B |
| RUN Sunrun Inc. | ▲ | $1.76B |
| AMRC Ameresco, Inc. | ▲ | $1.03B |
| LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $581M |
| BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $458M |
| CNTM Connectm Technology Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $25M |
| SMXT Solarmax Technology, Inc. | ▼ | $22M |
| PMA Pma Graphene Technology Group Inc. | ▶ | $16M |
| ZEO Zeo Energy Corp. | ▼ | $15M |
| CETX Cemtrex Inc | ▶ | $3M |
| PTOS P2 Solar, Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
Where MTRX sits on the market map
Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock news
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Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MTRX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Matrix Service Co stock predictions?
For MTRX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Matrix Service Co forecasts updated?
Matrix Service Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Matrix Service Co's industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, MTRX included, share the SEC industry code Construction - Special Trade Contractors. The largest are: Argan Inc (AGX), Legence Corp. (LGN), Sunpower Inc. (FACT), Sunrun Inc. (RUN), Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC), Limbach Holdings, Inc. (LMB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.