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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 33.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.96B small-cap · #3 of 10 peers
Summary

Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, MTX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Minerals Technologies Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.96B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 10 Industrial Inorganic Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Dividend Yield of 0.75% is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.

For MTX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

MTX price chart and AI forecast

MTX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MTX ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-05

Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Industrial Inorganic Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.96B $705M 3/10
P/B Ratio 1.27x 1.14x 4/9
Dividend Yield 0.75% 2.54% 8/8
EPS $-2.25 – –
Book Value/Share $49.63 – –
Revenue/Share $68.98 – –
FCF/Share $3.86 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
ROE -4.3% -4.9% 4/9
ROA -1.9% -3.7% 4/10
ROIC -1.1% 1.1% 6/10
Gross Margin 24.5% 24.7% 5/8
Operating Margin -1.3% -1.3% 5/9
Net Margin -3.1% -3.1% 5/9
EBT Margin -3.5% -3.5% 5/9
Tax Rate 17.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.43x 2.55x 8/11
Quick Ratio 1.00x 1.02x 5/8
D/E Ratio 1.24x 1.22x 4/9
Financial Leverage 2.26x 2.26x 5/9
Interest Coverage -11.9x 0.7x 9/10
Working Capital $355M $236M 5/11

Cash Flow

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $230M $94M 3/10
Free Cash Flow $120M $17M 2/7
Capital Spending -$110M -$110M 4/7
OCF Growth YoY 21.9% 5.8% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 35.6% – –
FCF/Sales 5.6% 4.6% 2/7
CapEx/Sales 5.1% 5.1% 4/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.61x 0.56x 4/8
Receivables Turnover 5.2x 6.3x 5/5
Inventory Turnover 4.6x 3.5x 3/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.1x 2.4x 5/8
Days Sales Outstanding 70 days 58 days 1/5
Days Inventory 80 days 105 days 5/7
Payables Period 46 days 38 days 2/6
Cash Conversion Cycle 105 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.15B $2.16B 5/8
Operating Income -$29M -$14M 6/10
Net Income -$67M -$36M 8/10
R&D Expense $23M $23M 3/5
SG&A Expense $216M $268M 6/8
Cost of Goods Sold $1.62B $1.71B 5/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMTXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.47 – –
Shares Outstanding 31M – –
Net Income Growth -3300.0% -147.7% 7/7
EPS Growth -4600.0% -140.7% 7/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.18B33.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$342M9.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$413M11.8% of assets
Inventory$356M10.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.92B54.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$626M17.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MTX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Industrial Inorganic Chemicals

Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Minerals Technologies Inc (Industrial Inorganic Chemicals): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MTX Minerals Technologies Inc ▶ $1.96B – 1.3x
LIN Linde Plc ▼ $229.77B 32.2x 5.9x
APD Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. ▶ $66.71B – 4.8x
STDN Standard Nuclear, Inc. ▼ $1.91B – –
KRO Kronos Worldwide Inc ▶ $855M – 1.1x
TROX Tronox Holdings Plc ▲ $554M – 0.5x
LXFR Luxfer Holdings Plc ▼ $461M 47.9x 2.1x
VHI Valhi Inc /De/ ▲ $415M – 0.4x
NL Nli Holdings, Inc. ▶ $330M – 0.9x
LTBR Lightbridge Corp ▲ $195M – 0.8x
HGAS Global Gas Corp ▲ N/A – –

Where MTX sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
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News

Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) stock news

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FAQ

Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, MTX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Minerals Technologies Inc stock predictions?

For MTX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Minerals Technologies Inc forecasts updated?

Minerals Technologies Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Minerals Technologies Inc's industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, MTX included, share the SEC industry code Industrial Inorganic Chemicals. The largest are: Linde Plc (LIN), Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD), Standard Nuclear, Inc. (STDN), Kronos Worldwide Inc (KRO), Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX), Luxfer Holdings Plc (LXFR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.