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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $554M small-cap · #6 of 10 peers
Summary

Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Tronox Holdings Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Tronox Holdings Plc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $554M. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 10 Industrial Inorganic Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of -47.3% is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 6.2% is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.

For TROX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TROX included.

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Price

TROX price chart and AI forecast

TROX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TROX ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Industrial Inorganic Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $554M $705M 6/10
P/B Ratio 0.48x 1.14x 8/9
Dividend Yield 7.94% 2.54% 2/8
EPS $-3.51 – –
Book Value/Share $7.27 – –
Revenue/Share $19.14 – –
FCF/Share $-1.00 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
ROE -47.3% -4.9% 9/9
ROA -9.2% -3.7% 8/10
ROIC -4.3% 1.1% 9/10
Gross Margin 6.2% 24.7% 8/8
Operating Margin -7.2% -1.3% 8/9
Net Margin -18.0% -3.1% 8/9
EBT Margin -14.5% -3.5% 7/9
Tax Rate -25.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.55x 2.55x 6/11
Quick Ratio 0.81x 1.02x 7/8
D/E Ratio 4.10x 1.22x 1/9
Financial Leverage 5.12x 2.26x 1/9
Interest Coverage -0.2x 0.7x 7/10
Working Capital $1.30B $236M 1/11

Cash Flow

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $101M $94M 5/10
Free Cash Flow -$159M $17M 6/7
Capital Spending -$260M -$110M 5/7
OCF Growth YoY -38.8% 5.8% 4/5
FCF/Sales -5.2% 4.6% 7/7
CapEx/Sales 8.5% 5.1% 3/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.51x 0.56x 5/8
Receivables Turnover 8.4x 6.3x 1/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.5x 2.4x 6/8
Days Sales Outstanding 43 days 58 days 5/5

Income Statement

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.06B $2.16B 3/8
Operating Income -$219M -$14M 9/10
Net Income -$549M -$36M 10/10
SG&A Expense $287M $268M 4/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTROXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.28 – –
Shares Outstanding 160M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.14B36.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$194M3.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$363M6.1% of assets
Inventory$1.46B24.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.76B80.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$436M7.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TROX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Industrial Inorganic Chemicals

Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tronox Holdings Plc (Industrial Inorganic Chemicals): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TROX Tronox Holdings Plc ▲ $554M – 0.5x
LIN Linde Plc ▼ $229.77B 32.2x 5.9x
APD Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. ▶ $66.71B – 4.8x
MTX Minerals Technologies Inc ▶ $1.96B – 1.3x
STDN Standard Nuclear, Inc. ▼ $1.91B – –
KRO Kronos Worldwide Inc ▶ $855M – 1.1x
LXFR Luxfer Holdings Plc ▼ $461M 47.9x 2.1x
VHI Valhi Inc /De/ ▲ $415M – 0.4x
NL Nli Holdings, Inc. ▶ $330M – 0.9x
LTBR Lightbridge Corp ▲ $195M – 0.8x
HGAS Global Gas Corp ▲ N/A – –

Where TROX sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
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News

Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) stock news

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FAQ

Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Tronox Holdings Plc (TROX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Tronox Holdings Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Tronox Holdings Plc stock predictions?

For TROX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Tronox Holdings Plc forecasts updated?

Tronox Holdings Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Tronox Holdings Plc's industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, TROX included, share the SEC industry code Industrial Inorganic Chemicals. The largest are: Linde Plc (LIN), Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD), Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX), Standard Nuclear, Inc. (STDN), Kronos Worldwide Inc (KRO), Luxfer Holdings Plc (LXFR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.