National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, NPK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
National Presto Industries Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.06B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 6 Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NPK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How NPK ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.06B | 2/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 24.85x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.69x | 3/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.36% | – |
| Book Value/Share | $55.37 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $76.33 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.70 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 16.6% | 1/5 |
| ROA | 13.1% | 1/5 |
| ROIC | 12.4% | 1/5 |
| Gross Margin | 16.5% | 5/5 |
| Operating Margin | 8.4% | 1/5 |
| Net Margin | 10.5% | 1/5 |
| EBT Margin | 8.7% | 1/5 |
| Tax Rate | 21.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.22x | 2/6 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.97x | 5/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.27x | 4/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.27x | 4/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 441.2x | 2/6 |
| Working Capital | $325M | 2/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $33M | 4/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $26M | 4/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$7M | 2/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 4.8% | 3/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.3% | 5/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.09x | 2/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.4x | 4/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 8.4x | 3/5 |
| Days Inventory | 262 days | 2/5 |
| Payables Period | 34 days | 3/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $545M | 4/5 |
| Operating Income | $53M | 1/5 |
| Net Income | $66M | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $37M | 4/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $455M | 3/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NPK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $5.01 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 7M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -12.8% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $402M | 80.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $16M | 3.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $327M | 65.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $106M | 21.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $34M | 6.8% of assets |
NPK quarterly financials and insider trading
National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Presto Industries Inc (Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) stock news
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National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, NPK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are National Presto Industries Inc stock predictions?
For NPK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are National Presto Industries Inc forecasts updated?
National Presto Industries Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are National Presto Industries Inc's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, NPK included, share the SEC industry code Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles). The largest are: Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON), Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR), Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI), Wrap Technologies, Inc. (WRAP), First Breach, Inc. (FBDT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.