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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 4.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $798M small-cap · #3 of 6 peers
Summary

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Sturm Ruger & Co Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $798M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For RGR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RGR included.

Price

RGR price chart and AI forecast

RGR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How RGR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-26

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $798M $720M 3/6
P/B Ratio 2.72x 3.50x 4/6
Dividend Yield 0.88% – –
EPS $-0.01 – –
Book Value/Share $18.35 – –
Revenue/Share $37.43 – –
FCF/Share $1.73 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
ROIC 5.1% 5.1% 3/5
Gross Margin 19.9% 27.4% 4/5
Operating Margin 2.5% 2.5% 3/5
EBT Margin 3.5% 6.0% 4/5
Tax Rate 21.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.02x 3.32x 4/6
Quick Ratio 2.54x 2.34x 3/6
D/E Ratio 0.30x 0.35x 4/6
Financial Leverage 1.30x 1.35x 4/6
Interest Coverage 443.0x 6.6x 1/6
Working Capital $170M $175M 4/6

Cash Flow

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $40M $40M 3/5
Free Cash Flow $28M $28M 3/5
Capital Spending -$12M -$12M 3/5
OCF Growth YoY -32.3% – –
FCF Growth YoY -35.0% – –
FCF/Sales 4.6% 4.6% 3/5
CapEx/Sales 2.0% 2.0% 3/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.57x 1.05x 1/5
Receivables Turnover 5.9x – –
Inventory Turnover 11.7x 2.9x 1/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.3x 8.4x 4/5
Days Sales Outstanding 62 days – –
Days Inventory 31 days 128 days 5/5
Payables Period 35 days 35 days 3/5
Cash Conversion Cycle 58 days – –

Income Statement

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $598M $551M 2/5
Operating Income $15M $36M 4/5
SG&A Expense $104M $104M 3/5
Cost of Goods Sold $479M $455M 2/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRGRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.44 – –
Shares Outstanding 16M – –
EPS Growth -101.4% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$254M66.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$24M6.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$102M26.7% of assets
Inventory$41M10.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$88M23.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$38M9.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RGR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RGR Sturm Ruger & Co Inc $798M – 2.7x
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. $25.43B 74.7x 6.8x
NPK National Presto Industries Inc $1.02B 23.8x 2.6x
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. $643M 26.1x 1.7x
WRAP Wrap Technologies, Inc. $57M – 4.3x
FBDT First Breach, Inc. $48M – 35.0x

Where RGR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)
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News

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) stock news

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FAQ

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Sturm Ruger & Co Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Sturm Ruger & Co Inc stock predictions?

For RGR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sturm Ruger & Co Inc forecasts updated?

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Sturm Ruger & Co Inc's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, RGR included, share the SEC industry code Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles). The largest are: Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON), National Presto Industries Inc (NPK), Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI), Wrap Technologies, Inc. (WRAP), First Breach, Inc. (FBDT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.