Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, NSSC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Napco Security Technologies, Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.27B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 15 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 22.5% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 59.2% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For NSSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How NSSC ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.27B | 3/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 29.64x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 6.66x | 2/12 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.60% | – |
| EPS | $1.20 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $5.34 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $5.66 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.66 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 22.5% | 1/9 |
| ROA | 18.0% | 1/11 |
| ROIC | 23.3% | 2/13 |
| Gross Margin | 59.2% | 1/13 |
| Operating Margin | 22.6% | 2/13 |
| Net Margin | 21.3% | 3/11 |
| EBT Margin | 24.6% | 3/14 |
| Tax Rate | 13.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.90x | 2/14 |
| Quick Ratio | 4.19x | 2/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.25x | 10/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.25x | 10/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 1595.9x | 1/14 |
| Working Capital | $166M | 3/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $61M | 3/15 |
| Free Cash Flow | $59M | 3/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$2M | 5/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 14.2% | 5/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 15.2% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 29.3% | 1/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.9% | 7/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.85x | 3/12 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.7x | 8/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 21.9x | 4/10 |
| Days Inventory | 133 days | 6/13 |
| Payables Period | 31 days | 10/10 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $202M | 5/12 |
| Operating Income | $46M | 2/14 |
| Net Income | $43M | 2/12 |
| R&D Expense | $14M | 6/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $44M | 6/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $83M | 6/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NSSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.57 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 47.5% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -0.9% | 3/5 |
| EPS Growth | 0.8% | 2/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $208M | 87.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $127M | 53.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $30M | 12.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $48M | 20.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $36M | 14.9% of assets |
NSSC quarterly financials and insider trading
Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Napco Security Technologies, Inc (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc | ▶ | $1.27B |
| LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $73.92B |
| ESE Esco Technologies Inc | ▼ | $6.45B |
| AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. | ▶ | $321M |
| TBCH Turtle Beach Corp | ▲ | $272M |
| RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. | ▲ | $97M |
| AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. | ▼ | $72M |
| INSG Inseego Corp. | ▲ | $68M |
| REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. | ▶ | $49M |
| TRCK Track Group, Inc. | ▶ | $23M |
| KSCP Knightscope, Inc. | ▼ | $13M |
| VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $9M |
| MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. | ▶ | $5M |
| IWAL Iwallet Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| ASNS Actelis Networks Inc | ▼ | $1M |
Where NSSC sits on the market map
Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock news
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Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, NSSC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Napco Security Technologies, Inc stock predictions?
For NSSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Napco Security Technologies, Inc forecasts updated?
Napco Security Technologies, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Napco Security Technologies, Inc's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, NSSC included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), Turtle Beach Corp (TBCH), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA), Amplitech Group, Inc. (AMPG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.