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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $20M small-cap · #10 of 15 peers
Summary

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Track Group, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Track Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $20M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 15 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TRCK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRCK included.

Price

TRCK price chart and AI forecast

TRCK
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How TRCK ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $20M $64M 10/15
P/B Ratio 1.21x 1.39x 8/12
EPS $-0.72 – –
Book Value/Share $0.36 – –
Revenue/Share $0.79 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
ROIC 5.0% 2.7% 6/13
Gross Margin 47.9% 48.0% 8/13
Operating Margin 4.9% -10.4% 4/13
EBT Margin 59.8% -7.3% 1/14
Tax Rate 0.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.94x 1.73x 5/14
Quick Ratio 1.86x 1.12x 5/13
D/E Ratio 1.62x 0.74x 2/12
Financial Leverage 2.62x 1.74x 2/12
Interest Coverage 1.2x 0.2x 5/14
Working Capital $7M $11M 9/14

Cash Flow

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6M $3M 6/15
OCF Growth YoY -10.3% 18.5% 6/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.85x 0.51x 4/12
Receivables Turnover 7.8x 5.0x 2/11
Inventory Turnover 31.0x 2.4x 1/13
Days Sales Outstanding 47 days 73 days 10/11
Days Inventory 12 days 151 days 13/13
Payables Period 104 days 95 days 4/10
Cash Conversion Cycle -46 days 50 days 10/10

Income Statement

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $36M $105M 8/12
Operating Income $2M -$3M 6/14
R&D Expense $3M $13M 10/13
SG&A Expense $12M $32M 10/13
Cost of Goods Sold $19M $22M 9/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRCKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 46M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$14M32.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$8M19.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$5M10.9% of assets
Inventory$610K1.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$26M61.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$2M4.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRCK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Communications Equipment, NEC

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Track Group, Inc. (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRCK Track Group, Inc. $20M – 1.2x
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. $48.31B – 10.6x
ESE Esco Technologies Inc $5.97B 17.7x 3.7x
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc $1.08B 24.8x 5.5x
AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. $361M – 0.8x
TBCH Turtle Beach Corp $272M – 3.2x
RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. $104M 14.7x 1.6x
AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. $69M – 1.5x
INSG Inseego Corp. $64M – –
REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. $44M – 1.3x
KSCP Knightscope, Inc. $10M – 0.3x
VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. $10M – –
MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. $3M – 0.8x
ASNS Actelis Networks Inc $1M – 0.2x
IWAL Iwallet Corp $1M – –

Where TRCK sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Communications Equipment, NEC
Explore the map →
News

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock news

source: streetinsider

NAPERVILLE, Ill., Dec. 23, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Track Group, Inc. (OTCQB: TRCK), a global leader in offender tracking and monitoring services, today announced financial results for its fiscal year ...

source: Barron's

Track Group, Inc. engages in the design, manufacturing, and marketing of location tracking devices. Its products and services include a full-range of one-piece global positioning system (GPS) tracking ...

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FAQ

Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Track Group, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Track Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For TRCK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Track Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Track Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Track Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, TRCK included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), Turtle Beach Corp (TBCH), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.