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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 33.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $44.78B large-cap · #1 of 27 peers
Summary

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Natera, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Natera, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $44.78B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 27 Services-Medical Laboratories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 23.95x is the highest of the 21 peers that report one.

For NTRA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NTRA included.

Price

NTRA price chart and AI forecast

NTRA
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How NTRA ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Medical Laboratories peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $44.78B $1.29B 1/27
P/B Ratio 23.95x 2.51x 1/21
EPS $-1.03 – –
Book Value/Share $12.97 – –
Revenue/Share $20.18 – –
FCF/Share $0.36 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
ROE -8.8% -9.2% 6/13
ROA -6.0% -11.7% 8/18
ROIC -12.2% -12.5% 11/22
Operating Margin -8.9% -13.4% 10/21
Net Margin -5.7% -16.2% 6/16
EBT Margin -7.7% -12.2% 10/21
Tax Rate 26.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.81x 3.07x 14/24
Quick Ratio 2.66x 5.12x 8/11
D/E Ratio 0.47x 0.47x 11/21
Financial Leverage 1.47x 1.47x 11/21
Interest Coverage -75.7x -6.1x 15/21
Working Capital $1.11B $236M 3/24

Cash Flow

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $213M -$340K 4/25
Free Cash Flow $52M $4M 5/17
Capital Spending -$160M -$14M 15/17
OCF Growth YoY 9.5% 18.4% 6/9
FCF Growth YoY -50.5% -6.8% 4/5
FCF/Sales 1.8% 1.4% 8/16
CapEx/Sales 5.5% 4.3% 5/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.06x 0.67x 4/18
Receivables Turnover 6.2x 6.4x 11/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.2x 4.6x 7/17
Days Sales Outstanding 59 days 57 days 9/19

Income Statement

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.91B $377M 2/19
Operating Income -$260M -$9M 22/24
Net Income -$165M -$23M 16/19
R&D Expense $856M $59M 1/18
SG&A Expense $1.28B $264M 4/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNTRAIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 144M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.72B62.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.10B39.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$471M17.1% of assets
Inventory$92M3.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$879M32.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$493M17.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NTRA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Medical Laboratories

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Natera, Inc. (Services-Medical Laboratories): 28 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NTRA Natera, Inc. $44.78B – 24.0x
LH Labcorp Holdings Inc. $29.77B 30.1x 3.4x
DGX Quest Diagnostics Inc $28.12B 25.5x 3.7x
GH Guardant Health, Inc. $20.25B – –
CAI Caris Life Sciences, Inc. $7.13B 5.4x 11.2x
RDNT Radnet, Inc. $5.98B – 5.5x
GRAL Grail, Inc. $5.42B – 2.2x
BLLN Billiontoone, Inc. $5.38B 316.5x –
CDNA Caredx, Inc. $4.13B 39.5x 8.8x
CELC Celcuity Inc. $3.27B – –
FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. $2.12B – 4.0x
VCYT Veracyte, Inc. $1.94B 25.2x 1.4x
PSNL Personalis, Inc. $1.69B – 7.9x
LMRI Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. $1.29B – 2.1x
FRNM Freenome, Inc. $1.09B – –
CSTL Castle Biosciences Inc $993M – 2.1x
FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. $653M – 0.7x
XGN Exagen Inc. $184M – 15.1x
BNR Burning Rock Biotech Ltd $143M – 2.5x
BDSX Biodesix Inc $90M – 10.4x
SERA Sera Prognostics, Inc. $82M – 1.6x
MDXH Mdxhealth Sa $14M – –
AMS American Shared Hospital Services $8M – 0.3x
ACON Aclarion, Inc. $4M – 0.3x
ADVB Advanced Biomed Inc. $3M – 0.3x
BGLC Bionexus Gene Lab Corp $3M – 0.3x
FCHS First Choice Healthcare Solutions, Inc. $150K – –
RNLXY Renalytix Plc N/A – –

Where NTRA sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-Medical Laboratories
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News

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock news

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FAQ

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Natera, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Natera, Inc. stock predictions?

For NTRA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Natera, Inc. forecasts updated?

Natera, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Natera, Inc.'s industry peers?

28 issuers in our coverage, NTRA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Medical Laboratories. The largest are: Labcorp Holdings Inc. (LH), Quest Diagnostics Inc (DGX), Guardant Health, Inc. (GH), Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI), Radnet, Inc. (RDNT), Grail, Inc. (GRAL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.