Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Natera, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Natera, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $56.71B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 29 Services-Medical Laboratories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 31.13x is the highest of the 22 peers that report one.
For NTRA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NTRA included.
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How NTRA ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Medical Laboratories peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $56.71B | 1/29 |
| P/B Ratio | 31.13x | 1/22 |
| EPS | $-1.25 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $12.64 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $18.78 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -10.6% | 9/14 |
| ROA | -7.2% | 9/20 |
| ROIC | -13.8% | 13/24 |
| Operating Margin | -10.7% | 11/23 |
| Net Margin | -7.1% | 9/17 |
| EBT Margin | -9.3% | 11/23 |
| Tax Rate | 23.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.00x | 15/26 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.85x | 8/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.46x | 10/22 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.46x | 10/22 |
| Interest Coverage | -84.9x | 16/23 |
| Working Capital | $1.11B | 2/26 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $228M | 4/27 |
| Free Cash Flow | $84M | 6/17 |
| Capital Spending | -$144M | 15/17 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 22.2% | 3/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -19.5% | 4/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 3.1% | 8/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 5.3% | 6/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.02x | 3/18 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.4x | 12/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 8.5x | 6/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 57 days | 8/19 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.71B | 2/19 |
| Operating Income | -$290M | 24/26 |
| Net Income | -$192M | 17/20 |
| R&D Expense | $787M | 1/20 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.25B | 4/20 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NTRA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 144M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.66B | 62.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.09B | 41.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $422M | 15.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $80M | 3.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $836M | 31.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $478M | 18.0% of assets |
NTRA quarterly financials and insider trading
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Natera, Inc. (Services-Medical Laboratories): 30 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NTRA Natera, Inc. | ▲ | $56.71B |
| DGX Quest Diagnostics Inc | ▼ | $25.94B |
| LH Labcorp Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $25.79B |
| GH Guardant Health, Inc. | ▲ | $21.28B |
| CAI Caris Life Sciences, Inc. | ▲ | $8.64B |
| RDNT Radnet, Inc. | ▶ | $5.41B |
| GRAL Grail, Inc. | ▲ | $5.26B |
| BLLN Billiontoone, Inc. | ▲ | $4.63B |
| VCYT Veracyte, Inc. | ▲ | $3.47B |
| CDNA Caredx, Inc. | ▲ | $3.31B |
| CELC Celcuity Inc. | ▲ | $2.77B |
| FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $2.14B |
| PSNL Personalis, Inc. | ▼ | $1.67B |
| FRNM Freenome, Inc. | ▶ | $1.26B |
| LMRI Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.04B |
| CSTL Castle Biosciences Inc | ▲ | $976M |
| FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. | ▲ | $545M |
| BDSX Biodesix Inc | ▲ | $250M |
| XGN Exagen Inc. | ▲ | $187M |
| BNR Burning Rock Biotech Ltd | ▲ | $139M |
| SERA Sera Prognostics, Inc. | ▼ | $78M |
| MDXH Mdxhealth Sa | ▶ | $58M |
| CFOR Capforce Inc. | ▶ | $43M |
| AMS American Shared Hospital Services | ▼ | $9M |
| ADVB Advanced Biomed Inc. | ▶ | $7M |
| ACON Aclarion, Inc. | ▲ | $5M |
| BGLC Bionexus Gene Lab Corp | ▲ | $4M |
| LUDG Ludwig Enterprises, Inc. | ▶ | $670K |
| FCHS First Choice Healthcare Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $260K |
| RNLXY Renalytix Plc | ▲ | N/A |
Where NTRA sits on the market map
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock news
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Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Natera, Inc. (NTRA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Natera, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Natera, Inc. stock predictions?
For NTRA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Natera, Inc. forecasts updated?
Natera, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Natera, Inc.'s industry peers?
30 issuers in our coverage, NTRA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Medical Laboratories. The largest are: Quest Diagnostics Inc (DGX), Labcorp Holdings Inc. (LH), Guardant Health, Inc. (GH), Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI), Radnet, Inc. (RDNT), Grail, Inc. (GRAL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.