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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Exagen Inc. (XGN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 39.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $187M small-cap · #19 of 29 peers
Summary

Exagen Inc. (XGN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Exagen Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Exagen Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $187M. It ranks number 19 by market capitalization among the 29 Services-Medical Laboratories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For XGN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, XGN included.

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Price

XGN price chart and AI forecast

XGN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How XGN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Exagen Inc. (XGN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Medical Laboratories peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $187M $1.04B 19/29
P/B Ratio 15.31x 2.47x 3/22
EPS $-0.85 – –
Book Value/Share $0.50 – –
Revenue/Share $2.94 – –
FCF/Share $-0.31 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
ROE -154.9% -9.4% 13/14
ROA -36.4% -10.8% 16/20
ROIC -34.3% -12.9% 21/24
Gross Margin 58.6% 18.1% 5/16
Operating Margin -18.6% -13.4% 13/23
Net Margin -26.6% -7.1% 11/17
EBT Margin -18.6% -12.2% 13/23
Tax Rate -0.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.18x 3.61x 14/26
D/E Ratio 3.25x 0.40x 3/22
Financial Leverage 4.25x 1.40x 3/22
Interest Coverage -2.0x -16.6x 8/23
Working Capital $29M $242M 17/26

Cash Flow

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$6M -$910K 17/27
Free Cash Flow -$8M -$490K 10/17
Capital Spending -$1M -$17M 4/17
FCF/Sales -10.7% 1.5% 10/16
CapEx/Sales 1.5% 4.4% 13/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.37x 0.63x 1/18
Receivables Turnover 5.7x 7.0x 14/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.8x 4.4x 5/17
Days Sales Outstanding 64 days 52 days 6/19
Payables Period 55 days 54 days 7/14

Income Statement

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $71M $357M 14/19
Operating Income -$13M -$11M 15/26
Net Income -$19M -$20M 9/20
R&D Expense $6M $56M 15/20
SG&A Expense $48M $244M 15/20
Cost of Goods Sold $29M $61M 10/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricXGNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 24M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$43M82.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$25M47.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$12M23.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$40M76.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$9M17.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

XGN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Medical Laboratories

Exagen Inc. (XGN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Exagen Inc. (Services-Medical Laboratories): 30 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
XGN Exagen Inc. ▲ $187M – 15.3x
NTRA Natera, Inc. ▲ $56.71B – 31.1x
DGX Quest Diagnostics Inc ▼ $25.94B 25.0x 3.5x
LH Labcorp Holdings Inc. ▼ $25.79B 26.3x 3.0x
GH Guardant Health, Inc. ▲ $21.28B – –
CAI Caris Life Sciences, Inc. ▲ $8.64B 6.4x 14.6x
RDNT Radnet, Inc. ▶ $5.41B – 4.9x
GRAL Grail, Inc. ▲ $5.26B – 2.1x
BLLN Billiontoone, Inc. ▲ $4.63B 338.3x –
VCYT Veracyte, Inc. ▲ $3.47B 37.8x 2.5x
CDNA Caredx, Inc. ▲ $3.31B 35.0x 7.8x
CELC Celcuity Inc. ▲ $2.77B – –
FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. ▲ $2.14B – 4.1x
PSNL Personalis, Inc. ▲ $1.67B – 7.1x
FRNM Freenome, Inc. ▶ $1.26B – –
LMRI Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.04B – 1.7x
CSTL Castle Biosciences Inc ▲ $976M – 2.1x
FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. ▲ $545M – 0.5x
BDSX Biodesix Inc ▲ $250M – 27.3x
BNR Burning Rock Biotech Ltd ▲ $139M – 2.4x
SERA Sera Prognostics, Inc. ▼ $78M – 1.3x
MDXH Mdxhealth Sa ▶ $58M – –
CFOR Capforce Inc. ▲ $43M – 0.6x
AMS American Shared Hospital Services ▼ $9M – 0.4x
ADVB Advanced Biomed Inc. ▼ $7M – 0.7x
ACON Aclarion, Inc. ▲ $5M – 0.3x
BGLC Bionexus Gene Lab Corp ▲ $4M – 0.5x
LUDG Ludwig Enterprises, Inc. ▼ $670K – –
FCHS First Choice Healthcare Solutions, Inc. ▼ $260K – –
RNLXY Renalytix Plc ▶ N/A – –

Where XGN sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-Medical Laboratories
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News

Exagen Inc. (XGN) stock news

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FAQ

Exagen Inc. (XGN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Exagen Inc. (XGN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Exagen Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Exagen Inc. stock predictions?

For XGN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Exagen Inc. forecasts updated?

Exagen Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Exagen Inc.'s industry peers?

30 issuers in our coverage, XGN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Medical Laboratories. The largest are: Natera, Inc. (NTRA), Quest Diagnostics Inc (DGX), Labcorp Holdings Inc. (LH), Guardant Health, Inc. (GH), Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI), Radnet, Inc. (RDNT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.