Analysis updated on Nov. 9, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Our AI scores Orange County Bancorp, Inc. /De/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Orange County Bancorp, Inc. /De/ is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $530M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For OBT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, OBT included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $530M | 60/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.35x | 40/58 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.73x | 11/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.69% | 43/51 |
| EPS | $3.48 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $22.87 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $9.15 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.82 | – |
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 15.5% | 8/55 |
| ROA | 1.7% | 10/52 |
| Net Margin | 38.6% | 12/56 |
| EBT Margin | 43.1% | 22/57 |
| Tax Rate | 10.3% | – |
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 8.13x | 21/59 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.13x | 18/54 |
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $67M | 54/58 |
| Free Cash Flow | $65M | 42/45 |
| Capital Spending | -$2M | 1/45 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 190.8% | 4/55 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 217.6% | 4/43 |
| FCF/Sales | 52.7% | 9/44 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.7% | 25/44 |
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.04x | 11/52 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.9x | 19/55 |
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $123M | 57/57 |
| Net Income | $47M | 56/56 |
| Metric | OBT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.67 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 19.2% | 44/51 |
| Shares Outstanding | 13M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 60.4% | 10/55 |
| EPS Growth | 95.0% | 7/55 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $335M | 12.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.49B | 89.1% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Orange County Bancorp, Inc. /De/ (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| OBT Orange County Bancorp, Inc. /De/ | $530M | |
| BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia | $113.35B | |
| DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft | $66.30B | |
| FITB Fifth Third Bancorp | $48.10B | |
| STT State Street Corp | $45.05B | |
| MTB M&T Bank Corp | $31.45B | |
| NTRS Northern Trust Corp | $31.29B | |
| BBD Bank Bradesco | $26.92B | |
| CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri | $26.51B | |
| FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ | $25.68B | |
| EWBC East West Bancorp Inc | $17.65B | |
| ALLY Ally Financial Inc. | $11.61B | |
| WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp | $10.21B | |
| SSB Southstate Bank Corp | $10.07B | |
| BPOP Popular, Inc. | $9.98B | |
| CBC Central Bancompany, Inc. | $9.04B | |
| PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc | $8.64B | |
| COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. | $8.62B | |
| WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation | $8.13B | |
| CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ | $7.89B | |
| UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv | $6.57B | |
| GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. | $6.27B | |
| HOMB Home Bancshares Inc | $5.97B | |
| HWC Hancock Whitney Corp | $5.73B | |
| ASB Associated Banc-Corp | $5.64B | |
| AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp | $5.62B | |
| ABCB Ameris Bancorp | $5.49B | |
| SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. | $4.49B | |
| UCB United Community Banks Inc | $4.46B | |
| FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc | $4.36B | |
| TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx | $4.29B | |
| CATY Cathay General Bancorp | $4.28B | |
| IBOC International Bancshares Corp | $4.20B | |
| CVBF Cvb Financial Corp | $4.00B | |
| INDB Independent Bank Corp | $3.98B | |
| FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ | $3.97B | |
| FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc | $3.60B | |
| RNST Renasant Corp | $3.60B | |
| MCHB Mechanics Bancorp | $3.26B | |
| SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida | $3.25B | |
| FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. | $3.04B | |
| CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. | $2.86B | |
| BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp | $2.73B | |
| FBK Fb Financial Corp | $2.71B | |
| FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ | $2.67B | |
| SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. | $2.46B | |
| BANR Banner Corp | $2.38B | |
| MBIN Merchants Bancorp | $2.38B | |
| BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ | $2.36B | |
| EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp | $2.21B | |
| OFG Ofg Bancorp | $2.15B | |
| SRCE 1st Source Corp | $2.09B | |
| HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. | $2.07B | |
| GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. | $1.88B | |
| STBA S&T Bancorp Inc | $1.79B | |
| RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ | $1.78B | |
| BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. | $1.72B | |
| TCBK Trico Bancshares / | $1.67B | |
| QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc | $1.65B | |
| OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc. | $1.64B |
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Shares of Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 16.7% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $35.07 in the previous session. Orange ...
Our AI scores Orange County Bancorp, Inc. /De/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For OBT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-08-11 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-22 and 2026-10-09. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Orange County Bancorp, Inc. /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 9, 2026.
60 issuers in our coverage, OBT included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), M&T Bank Corp (MTB), Northern Trust Corp (NTRS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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