Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.54B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 2.92x is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one. Its Current Ratio of 2.23x is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For OLLI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How OLLI ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.54B | 8/10 |
| P/E Ratio | 38.99x | 3/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.92x | 9/9 |
| EPS | $2.39 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $31.91 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $40.67 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 11.9% | 7/8 |
| Gross Margin | 35.0% | 3/9 |
| Operating Margin | 11.8% | 2/9 |
| EBT Margin | 12.6% | 2/9 |
| Tax Rate | 24.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.23x | 1/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.52x | 4/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.60x | 9/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.60x | 8/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 896.5x | 1/8 |
| Working Capital | $505M | 4/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $423M | 8/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $154M | 8/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$269M | 3/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 152.2% | 1/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -1.6% | 4/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 6.4% | 3/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 11.1% | 1/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.80x | 8/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 309.6x | 1/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.2x | 8/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.8x | 4/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 1 days | 5/5 |
| Days Inventory | 164 days | 1/8 |
| Payables Period | 44 days | 5/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 121 days | 1/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.42B | 9/9 |
| Operating Income | $310M | 8/9 |
| SG&A Expense | $742M | 8/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.57B | 9/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | OLLI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 59M | – |
| EPS Growth | -17.0% | 8/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $917M | 30.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $121M | 4.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $8M | 0.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $704M | 23.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.13B | 37.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $221M | 7.3% of assets |
OLLI quarterly financials and insider trading
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $5.54B |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | ▼ | $942.61B |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New | ▼ | $439.04B |
| TGT Target Corp | ▼ | $70.08B |
| DG Dollar General Corp | ▼ | $29.64B |
| DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. | ▼ | $23.30B |
| BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $13.00B |
| FIVE Five Below, Inc | ▶ | $12.26B |
| PSMT Pricesmart Inc | ▼ | $5.24B |
| MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | $3.10B |
Where OLLI sits on the market map
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock news
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For OLLI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
10 issuers in our coverage, OLLI included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar General Corp (DG), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.