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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -14.0% Spearman, 271 dates
Market Cap $355M small-cap · #10 of 21 peers
Summary

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Oatly Group Ab outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Oatly Group Ab is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $355M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 21 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 41.36x is the highest of the 16 peers that report one.

For OTLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -22.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, OTLY included.

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Price

OTLY price chart and AI forecast

OTLY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How OTLY ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $355M $186M 10/21
EPS $-1.38 – –
Revenue/Share $84.82 – –
FCF/Share $-14.13 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 27.4% 27.4% 10/17
Operating Margin -27.4% 1.4% 13/16
EBT Margin -30.1% -3.2% 14/17
Tax Rate -2.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.48x 1.10x 17/18
Quick Ratio 0.35x 0.63x 14/16
D/E Ratio 41.36x 1.87x 1/16
Financial Leverage 42.43x 2.96x 1/16
Working Capital -$292M $15M 16/18

Cash Flow

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$319M -$60K 19/19
Free Cash Flow -$446M $215M 9/9
Capital Spending -$127M -$115M 6/9
FCF/Sales -16.7% 6.5% 8/9
CapEx/Sales 4.8% 3.3% 3/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 3.40x 0.82x 1/10
Inventory Turnover 28.4x 6.3x 2/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.1x 8.2x 5/10
Days Inventory 13 days 59 days 13/14

Income Statement

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.68B $2.35B 5/11
Operating Income -$733M -$80K 17/17
R&D Expense $74M $20M 2/5
SG&A Expense $1.10B $281M 5/14
Cost of Goods Sold $1.94B $937M 6/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricOTLYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 32M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$265M
Cash & Short-term Investments$64M
Inventory$69M
Total Liabilities$768M
Quarterly Financial Reports

OTLY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Food and Kindred Products

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Oatly Group Ab (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
OTLY Oatly Group Ab ▲ $355M – –
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. ▼ $82.47B 31.6x 3.2x
CAG Conagra Brands Inc. ▼ $6.91B – 1.1x
CPB Campbell's Co ▲ $5.93B 15.2x 1.5x
NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd ▶ $1.67B 5.0x –
FLO Flowers Foods Inc ▼ $1.30B 19.7x 1.0x
BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. ▶ $1.10B 6.9x –
SMPL Simply Good Foods Co ▼ $990M – 0.7x
OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc ▲ $729M – 4.7x
VITL Vital Farms, Inc. ▲ $361M 23.3x 1.3x
BGS B&G Foods, Inc. ▲ $186M – 0.5x
BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. ▲ $118M – 2.1x
GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. ▶ $59M – –
SOWG Sow Good Inc. ▼ $42M – –
BOF Branchout Food Inc. ▲ $34M – 7.5x
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. ▲ $29M – 2.7x
BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. ▶ $23M – –
HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc ▼ $21M – 0.1x
STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. ▼ $15M – 3.7x
CHSN Chanson International Holding ▼ $2M – –
TRWD Tradewinds Universal ▼ $660K – 3.6x
NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where OTLY sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Food and Kindred Products
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News

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock news

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FAQ

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Oatly Group Ab outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Oatly Group Ab stock predictions?

For OTLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -22.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Oatly Group Ab forecasts updated?

Oatly Group Ab forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Oatly Group Ab's industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, OTLY included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD), Flowers Foods Inc (FLO), Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.