Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, OTLY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Oatly Group Ab is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $355M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 21 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 41.36x is the highest of the 16 peers that report one.
For OTLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -22.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How OTLY ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $355M | 10/21 |
| EPS | $-1.38 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $84.82 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-14.13 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 27.4% | 10/17 |
| Operating Margin | -27.4% | 13/16 |
| EBT Margin | -30.1% | 14/17 |
| Tax Rate | -2.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.48x | 17/18 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.35x | 14/16 |
| D/E Ratio | 41.36x | 1/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 42.43x | 1/16 |
| Working Capital | -$292M | 16/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$319M | 19/19 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$446M | 9/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$127M | 6/9 |
| FCF/Sales | -16.7% | 8/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.8% | 3/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 3.40x | 1/10 |
| Inventory Turnover | 28.4x | 2/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.1x | 5/10 |
| Days Inventory | 13 days | 13/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.68B | 5/11 |
| Operating Income | -$733M | 17/17 |
| R&D Expense | $74M | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.10B | 5/14 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.94B | 6/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | OTLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 32M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $265M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $64M | |
| Inventory | $69M | |
| Total Liabilities | $768M |
OTLY quarterly financials and insider trading
Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Oatly Group Ab (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| OTLY Oatly Group Ab | ▶ | $355M |
| MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. | ▼ | $82.47B |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | ▼ | $6.91B |
| CPB Campbell's Co | ▶ | $5.93B |
| NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd | ▼ | $1.67B |
| FLO Flowers Foods Inc | ▼ | $1.30B |
| BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. | ▼ | $1.10B |
| SMPL Simply Good Foods Co | ▼ | $990M |
| OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc | ▶ | $729M |
| VITL Vital Farms, Inc. | ▲ | $361M |
| BGS B&G Foods, Inc. | ▲ | $186M |
| BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. | ▲ | $118M |
| GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. | ▼ | $59M |
| SOWG Sow Good Inc. | ▼ | $42M |
| BOF Branchout Food Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. | ▲ | $29M |
| BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. | ▼ | $23M |
| HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc | ▶ | $21M |
| STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. | ▶ | $15M |
| CHSN Chanson International Holding | ▼ | $2M |
| TRWD Tradewinds Universal | ▼ | $660K |
| NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
Where OTLY sits on the market map
Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock news
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Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, OTLY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Oatly Group Ab stock predictions?
For OTLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -22.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Oatly Group Ab forecasts updated?
Oatly Group Ab forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Oatly Group Ab's industry peers?
22 issuers in our coverage, OTLY included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD), Flowers Foods Inc (FLO), Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.