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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $127M small-cap · #8 of 14 peers
Summary

Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, PLBY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Playboy, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $127M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 14 Retail-Miscellaneous Retail issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PLBY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PLBY included.

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Price

PLBY price chart and AI forecast

PLBY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PLBY ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Miscellaneous Retail peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $127M $183M 8/14
P/B Ratio 5.76x 3.59x 2/8
EPS $-0.05 – –
Book Value/Share $0.18 – –
Revenue/Share $1.05 – –
FCF/Share $0.01 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
ROE 1.3% -86.1% 3/7
ROA 0.1% -21.4% 6/13
ROIC 2.5% 3.3% 5/8
Gross Margin 72.7% 62.1% 3/10
Operating Margin 4.3% 5.8% 7/12
Net Margin 0.2% 0.2% 7/13
EBT Margin -0.8% 2.4% 8/13
Tax Rate 127.8% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.79x 0.83x 8/12
Quick Ratio 0.64x 0.66x 7/11
D/E Ratio 12.07x 3.44x 2/10
Financial Leverage 13.10x 4.44x 2/10
Interest Coverage 0.8x -0.2x 5/17
Working Capital -$16M -$16M 6/11

Cash Flow

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3M $2M 8/16
Free Cash Flow $2M $44M 7/7
Capital Spending -$1M -$18M 2/7
FCF/Sales 1.3% 4.4% 7/8
CapEx/Sales 1.1% 2.0% 7/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.43x 0.84x 6/7
Receivables Turnover 19.2x 20.0x 5/8
Inventory Turnover 3.0x 5.4x 5/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 30.4x 5.8x 2/9
Days Sales Outstanding 19 days 18 days 4/8
Days Inventory 120 days 68 days 3/7
Payables Period 127 days 50 days 3/8
Cash Conversion Cycle 12 days 38 days 4/5

Income Statement

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $125M $1.25B 7/8
Operating Income $5M $380K 6/13
Net Income $280K -$2M 6/14
SG&A Expense $86M $130M 4/5
Cost of Goods Sold $34M $27M 6/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPLBYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 120M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$59M20.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$32M11.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$7M2.3% of assets
Inventory$11M3.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$266M92.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$63M21.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PLBY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Miscellaneous Retail

Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Playboy, Inc. (Retail-Miscellaneous Retail): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PLBY Playboy, Inc. ▶ $127M – 5.8x
FCFS Firstcash Holdings, Inc. ▼ $9.34B 24.6x 4.0x
SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. ▶ $1.55B 62.9x 3.5x
REAL Therealreal, Inc. ▲ $1.26B – –
SPH Suburban Propane Partners Lp ▼ $1.17B 11.3x –
WINA Winmark Corp ▼ $1.13B 28.1x –
TMS Teamshares Inc ▼ $401M – 3.7x
FGPR Ferrellgas Partners L P ▼ $239M 3.3x –
AASP Agassi Sports Entertainment Corp. ▲ $69M – 26.2x
LIVE Live Ventures Inc ▶ $23M – 0.3x
VIPZ Vip Play, Inc. ▼ $14M – –
BLMH Blum Holdings, Inc. ▼ $5M – –
WBUY Webuy Global Ltd ▼ $4M – 0.7x
NEXR Nexera Technologies Ltd ▶ $1M – 0.2x
BLPG Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
CIMG Cimg Inc. ▼ N/A – –
FVTI Fortune Valley Treasures, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
MDEX Madison Technologies Inc. ▼ N/A – –
RTON Right On Brands, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where PLBY sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Miscellaneous Retail
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News

Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) stock news

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FAQ

Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Playboy, Inc. (PLBY) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, PLBY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Playboy, Inc. stock predictions?

For PLBY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Playboy, Inc. forecasts updated?

Playboy, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Playboy, Inc.'s industry peers?

19 issuers in our coverage, PLBY included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Miscellaneous Retail. The largest are: Firstcash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS), Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV), Therealreal, Inc. (REAL), Suburban Propane Partners Lp (SPH), Winmark Corp (WINA), Teamshares Inc (TMS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.