Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) Stock Forecast Nov. 5, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 5, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Therealreal, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Therealreal, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.69B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 14 Retail-Miscellaneous Retail issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 74.7% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.
For REAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-18 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-18 and 2026-10-06. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, REAL included.
REAL price chart and AI forecast
How REAL ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Miscellaneous Retail peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.69B | 2/14 |
| EPS | $-0.25 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $6.27 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.28 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 2.2% | 6/8 |
| Gross Margin | 74.7% | 1/10 |
| Operating Margin | 0.4% | 9/11 |
| EBT Margin | -1.4% | 10/12 |
| Tax Rate | -4.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.84x | 6/12 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.69x | 4/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.1x | 8/16 |
| Working Capital | -$43M | 8/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $59M | 5/15 |
| Free Cash Flow | $35M | 5/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$25M | 4/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 284.2% | 1/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 4.4% | 4/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.2% | 4/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.94x | 2/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 28.1x | 3/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.3x | 4/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.5x | 3/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 13 days | 6/8 |
| Days Inventory | 69 days | 4/7 |
| Payables Period | 25 days | 7/8 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 56 days | 2/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $782M | 5/8 |
| Operating Income | $3M | 7/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $213M | 2/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $198M | 5/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | REAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 125M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $218M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $130M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $28M | |
| Inventory | $37M | |
| Total Liabilities | $758M | |
| Short-term Debt | $247M |
REAL quarterly financials and insider trading
Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Therealreal, Inc. (Retail-Miscellaneous Retail): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| REAL Therealreal, Inc. | $1.69B | |
| FCFS Firstcash Holdings, Inc. | $7.96B | |
| SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. | $1.40B | |
| SPH Suburban Propane Partners Lp | $1.15B | |
| WINA Winmark Corp | $956M | |
| TMS Teamshares Inc | $350M | |
| FGPR Ferrellgas Partners L P | $210M | |
| PLBY Playboy, Inc. | $155M | |
| AASP Agassi Sports Entertainment Corp. | $67M | |
| LIVE Live Ventures Inc | $23M | |
| VIPZ Vip Play, Inc. | $16M | |
| BLMH Blum Holdings, Inc. | $5M | |
| WBUY Webuy Global Ltd | $3M | |
| NEXR Nexera Technologies Ltd | $390K | |
| BLPG Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. | N/A | |
| CIMG Cimg Inc. | N/A | |
| MDEX Madison Technologies Inc. | N/A | |
| RTON Right On Brands, Inc. | N/A |
Where REAL sits on the market map
Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) stock news
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Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Therealreal, Inc. (REAL) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Therealreal, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Therealreal, Inc. stock predictions?
For REAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-18 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-18 and 2026-10-06. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Therealreal, Inc. forecasts updated?
Therealreal, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 5, 2026.
Which companies are Therealreal, Inc.'s industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, REAL included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Miscellaneous Retail. The largest are: Firstcash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS), Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV), Suburban Propane Partners Lp (SPH), Winmark Corp (WINA), Teamshares Inc (TMS), Ferrellgas Partners L P (FGPR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.