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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Pra Group Inc (PRAA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 43.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $751M small-cap · #3 of 6 peers
Summary

Pra Group Inc (PRAA) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, PRAA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Pra Group Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $751M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Short-Term Business Credit Institutions issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PRAA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 53.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

PRAA price chart and AI forecast

PRAA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PRAA ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Pra Group Inc (PRAA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Short-Term Business Credit Institutions peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $751M $649M 3/6
P/B Ratio 0.72x 1.79x 5/6
EPS $-7.36 – –
Book Value/Share $27.77 – –
Revenue/Share $35.36 – –
FCF/Share $-1.01 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
ROE -25.4% – –
ROA -5.1% – –
Operating Margin 5.0% 5.0% 3/5
Net Margin -19.9% – –
EBT Margin -14.2% 3.2% 4/6
Tax Rate -34.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.95x 4.05x 4/6
Financial Leverage 5.01x 5.08x 4/6

Cash Flow

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$31M $17M 6/6
Free Cash Flow -$38M – –
Capital Spending -$6M – –
FCF/Sales -2.8% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.25x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 59.9x – –

Income Statement

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.33B – –
Operating Income $67M $67M 3/5
Net Income -$265M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPRAAIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 38M – –
Net Income Growth -389.2% – –
EPS Growth -415.9% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$132M2.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.13B79.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PRAA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Short-Term Business Credit Institutions

Pra Group Inc (PRAA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pra Group Inc (Short-Term Business Credit Institutions): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PRAA Pra Group Inc ▶ $751M – 0.7x
ECPG Encore Capital Group Inc ▼ $2.16B 7.7x 2.0x
JCAP Jefferson Capital, Inc. / De ▼ $1.19B – 2.5x
SWRD Stewards, Inc. ▼ $547M – 271.8x
PLBC Plumas Bancorp ▶ $432M 12.2x 1.6x
OMCC Old Market Capital Corp ▶ $26M – 0.6x
TGNT Totaligent, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where PRAA sits on the market map

Finance · Short-Term Business Credit Institutions
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News

Pra Group Inc (PRAA) stock news

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FAQ

Pra Group Inc (PRAA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Pra Group Inc (PRAA) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, PRAA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Pra Group Inc stock predictions?

For PRAA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 53.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Pra Group Inc forecasts updated?

Pra Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Pra Group Inc's industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, PRAA included, share the SEC industry code Short-Term Business Credit Institutions. The largest are: Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG), Jefferson Capital, Inc. / De (JCAP), Stewards, Inc. (SWRD), Plumas Bancorp (PLBC), Old Market Capital Corp (OMCC), Totaligent, Inc. (TGNT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.